CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs BakS eSports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x704484104b603fd42099a66ffc1f48124910e8b3b4dc8151b705cb1ed8e75943
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BakS eSportsof Gatorian, BakS eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Gatorian | 55c | 3,830$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.64 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Gatorian | 51c | 3,200$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BakS eSports | 45c | 2,639$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.61 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BakS eSports | 51c | 1,524$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.33 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Gatorian | 50c | 975.97$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.77 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Gatorian | 54c | 889.23$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.1 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed BakS eSports | 58c | 663.32$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.29 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed BakS eSports | 61c | 617.9$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.08 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Gatorian | 32c | 550.08$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.02 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…51b8backed BakS eSports | 45c | 501.31$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.31 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf868…3b45backed BakS eSports | 44c | 488$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.95 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Gatorian | 51c | 465.04$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.52 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked BakS eSports | 50c | 426.34$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.17 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed BakS eSports | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed BakS eSports | 51c | 310$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.52 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked BakS eSports | 50c | 308.45$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.71 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked BakS eSports | 46c | 300$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BakS eSports | 50c | 277.22$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.21 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed BakS eSports | 45c | 242.57$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.41 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Gatorian | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed BakS eSports | 46c | 203.35$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.81 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked BakS eSports | 45c | 196.74$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.93 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BakS eSports | 73c | 196.07$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Gatorian | 24c | 173.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed BakS eSports | 53c | 165$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked BakS eSports | 50c | 155$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed BakS eSports | 51c | 155$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.18 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed BakS eSports | 50c | 147.35$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked BakS eSports | 50c | 101.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked BakS eSports | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Gatorian | 35c | 66.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked BakS eSports | 53c | 64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Gatorian | 34c | 52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed BakS eSports | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed BakS eSports | 50c | 49.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked BakS eSports | 49c | 40.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed BakS eSports | 45c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed BakS eSports | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed BakS eSports | 50c | 24.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed BakS eSports | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 241 | 52.3%126 W · 115 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Gatorian | 52c | 20.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs BakS eSports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 PlayoffsBakS eSports won
- Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs BakS eSports - Map 2 WinnerBakS eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.