TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7460…de6e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
443
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: CS2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT43951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 439 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: K27 vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$979.99
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Phantom Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$672Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+99.9%+$671.67
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - United21 Group Dbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,619.99
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,007Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$1,063.14
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs Endless Journey - Map 2 Winnerbacked Falcons Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.79
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Vexar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,350
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Butterfly - Map 2 Winnerbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,325Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,174.99
Counter-Strike: WBT vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Noir Verse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.18
Counter-Strike: Raccoons vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Raccoons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,890Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,610
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$750
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs HyperSpirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$432.78
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs SPARTA (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,619.99
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Noir Verse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,479Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,807.05
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Revise (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Revise · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,416Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+85%+$1,203.73
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winnerbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.5
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Noir Verse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,375Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,125
Counter-Strike: Nordic Partners Gaming vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$93.97
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Color (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Color · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,000
Counter-Strike: mellren vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked mellren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$486
Counter-Strike: OG vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,839.99
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs WBT (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked WBT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,890Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,609.99
Counter-Strike: Teletubisie vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - United21 Group Dbacked Phantom Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+311.7%+$1,224.53
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,612Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,487.99
Showing 25 of 439 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs EXILE esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked CITA Kaizen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$349.65
Game Handicap: BRT (-2.5) vs CITA Kaizen (+2.5)backed BRUTE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+100%+$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,972Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,972
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,679.97
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.