CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6c24d22f9283a14e3ab5898c3fc19df8bd3cbeca7c5779ee5c7da402d57fb41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Aresof G2 Ares, HyperSpirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked G2 Ares | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HyperSpirit | 50c | 1,010$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.54 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed HyperSpirit | 35c | 955.86$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.66 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed G2 Ares | 80c | 375.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.01 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed G2 Ares | 54c | 363.44$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HyperSpirit | 41c | 126.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked HyperSpirit | 45c | 123.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked HyperSpirit | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked HyperSpirit | 30c | 118.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed HyperSpirit | 50c | 114.37$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked G2 Ares | 61c | 110$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed HyperSpirit | 29c | 97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked HyperSpirit | 30c | 87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked G2 Ares | 60c | 66.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed G2 Ares | 62c | 60.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked G2 Ares | 63c | 51.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked G2 Ares | 61c | 51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed HyperSpirit | 40c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed HyperSpirit | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked G2 Ares | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked HyperSpirit | 33c | 43.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked G2 Ares | 61c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked G2 Ares | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed G2 Ares | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group StageG2 Ares won
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs HyperSpirit - Map 1 WinnerHyperSpirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.