CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x003524fd99558b479893e8591fee840c6dd45c517b92a18cc3993e93744ade8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantom Academyof Alliance, Phantom Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5929…4684backed Alliance | 47c | 1,924$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.46 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Phantom Academy | 53c | 1,745$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.64 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Phantom Academy | 50c | 1,344$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.67 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Phantom Academy | 24c | 530.13$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.99 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alliance | 48c | 463.49$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.33 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Phantom Academy | 35c | 436.39$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.58 | 258 | 46.1%119 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Alliance | 59c | 421.37$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.95 | 302 | 23.2%70 W · 232 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Alliance | 78c | 286.15$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed Alliance | 75c | 278.7$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Alliance | 80c | 246.37$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.1 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Alliance | 63c | 195.07$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.88 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Phantom Academy | 33c | 190.84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Alliance | 53c | 148.24$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…53cabacked Phantom Academy | 75c | 134.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed Phantom Academy | 21c | 130.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.53 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Alliance | 65c | 130.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alliance | 64c | 115.49$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.81 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac33…fda0backed Alliance | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Phantom Academy | 31c | 102.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.63 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed Phantom Academy | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Alliance | 47c | 94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alliance | 66c | 81.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Phantom Academy | 61c | 66.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Alliance | 75c | 65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Phantom Academy | 30c | 60.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Phantom Academy | 39c | 56.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Phantom Academy | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Alliance | 65c | 49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Phantom Academy | 25c | 45.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Alliance | 52c | 41.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Alliance | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Alliance | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…e9dbbacked Phantom Academy | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Phantom Academy | 26c | 39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…ffc2backed Alliance | 45c | 33.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…a298backed Phantom Academy | 80c | 31.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Phantom Academy | 59c | 31.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…9f07backed Phantom Academy | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alliance | 68c | 29.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed Alliance | 47c | 23.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Alliance | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked Alliance | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - United21 Group D Phantom Academy won
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy - Map 2 WinnerAlliance won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.