CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73e5a080be37958693e28e02a2c9ed99727d03afadaea916217d306ebebf7763
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Allianceof Alliance, Phantom Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Alliance | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.98 | 749 | 56.7%425 W · 324 L | +47.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed Phantom Academy | 38c | 2,063$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.16 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…1963backed Alliance | 57c | 2,061$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.99 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Alliance | 48c | 1,676$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.99 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Phantom Academy | 40c | 944.14$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.62 | 301 | 23.3%70 W · 231 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Phantom Academy | 47c | 890.69$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.53 | 604 | 34.1%206 W · 398 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c76…fcc2backed Phantom Academy | 45c | 655.18$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.83 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe3…ec6fbacked Phantom Academy | 46c | 653$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Phantom Academy | 31c | 541.48$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.36 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Phantom Academy | 61c | 531.3$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.7 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a50…241ebacked Alliance | 39c | 510.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.41 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Alliance | 58c | 508.14$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.11 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Alliance | 60c | 456.57$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.77 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8789…e320backed Phantom Academy | 43c | 333.67$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Phantom Academy | 38c | 327.19$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.62 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0b…5280backed Alliance | 35c | 306.83$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Alliance | 50c | 302.89$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.93 | 390 | 64.4%251 W · 139 L | +47.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alliance | 58c | 302.74$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.25 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0975…0899backed Phantom Academy | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…f1abbacked Phantom Academy | 64c | 256.34$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.24 | 186 | 54.8%102 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…7691backed Phantom Academy | 49c | 233.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.66 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Phantom Academy | 53c | 227.24$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -4.2wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Alliance | 48c | 218.9$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.88 | 1,360 | 66.3%901 W · 459 L | +75.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f00…0e92backed Phantom Academy | 67c | 215.86$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Phantom Academy | 48c | 212.61$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.13 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x059a…1fe9backed Phantom Academy | 49c | 204.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Alliance | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 309 | 49.2%152 W · 157 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Alliance | 59c | 197.83$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.71 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Phantom Academy | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 69.4%265 W · 117 L | +30.8wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Phantom Academy | 34c | 170$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 1,062 | 42.2%448 W · 614 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed Phantom Academy | 43c | 154.09$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Phantom Academy | 44c | 152.84$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…17bcbacked Alliance | 66c | 142.96$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc9…d54dbacked Phantom Academy | 29c | 129.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef30…e949backed Phantom Academy | 56c | 129$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Alliance | 68c | 127$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…bd96backed Phantom Academy | 74c | 117.72$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ef…647cbacked Phantom Academy | 34c | 117.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…0f71backed Alliance | 68c | 115.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Alliance | 79c | 105.6$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…8869backed Phantom Academy | 40c | 100.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…e654backed Phantom Academy | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21fc…de4abacked Phantom Academy | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5439…c45bbacked Phantom Academy | 56c | 97.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…53cabacked Alliance | 74c | 97.31$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Phantom Academy | 46c | 84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed Alliance | 78c | 81.04$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alliance | 77c | 75.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Phantom Academy | 53c | 67.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 133 | 39.8%53 W · 80 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cd…607dbacked Alliance | 72c | 65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…6562backed Alliance | 67c | 64.18$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Alliance | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce5…309cbacked Phantom Academy | 30c | 61.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4e…2a97backed Phantom Academy | 43c | 58.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…9f0cbacked Phantom Academy | 51c | 58.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Phantom Academy | 61c | 57.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 409 | 71.9%294 W · 115 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Phantom Academy | 64c | 54.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…95b3backed Phantom Academy | 51c | 51.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | +15.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Phantom Academy | 44c | 48.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Alliance | 44c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Alliance | 61c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 519 | 49.1%255 W · 264 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…f0a3backed Alliance | 78c | 40.81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Alliance | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 380 | 31.1%118 W · 262 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Phantom Academy | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 285 | 61.1%174 W · 111 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Alliance | 44c | 32.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Alliance | 77c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 2,343 | 46.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L | -49.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked Phantom Academy | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 182 | 81.3%148 W · 34 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked Phantom Academy | 51c | 29.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 328 | 61.9%203 W · 125 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…ffc2backed Alliance | 51c | 29.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Phantom Academy | 56c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…d8e8backed Phantom Academy | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Alliance | 70c | 27.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 653 | 46.9%306 W · 347 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Alliance | 49c | 26.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 343 | 56.6%194 W · 149 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Phantom Academy | 52c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Phantom Academy | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…cb91backed Phantom Academy | 72c | 20.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb47…8419backed Alliance | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Alliance | 76c | 19.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…6a2bbacked Alliance | 76c | 14.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - United21 Group D Phantom Academy won
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy - Map 1 Winner Phantom Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.