Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BRT (-2.5) vs CITA Kaizen (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b1501c2701e00fff9b2edab027e2dee0ef27dc0aa51925c5c875b8e47f9718f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BRUTEof BRUTE, CITA Kaizen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed CITA Kaizen | 0c | 5,577$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed CITA Kaizen | 48c | 2,798$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.87 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3941…ca84backed BRUTE | 59c | 2,599$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked CITA Kaizen | 45c | 2,139$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.12 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ec…f60dbacked BRUTE | 47c | 1,848$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed CITA Kaizen | 53c | 1,821$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.52 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed BRUTE | 45c | 1,600$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.99 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x136f…336cbacked BRUTE | 46c | 1,130$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.26 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked CITA Kaizen | 55c | 381.82$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebd…21cdbacked CITA Kaizen | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a0…9fcdbacked CITA Kaizen | 55c | 195$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…26a2backed BRUTE | 67c | 181$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed BRUTE | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…7febbacked CITA Kaizen | 55c | 91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked BRUTE | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed CITA Kaizen | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…476dbacked CITA Kaizen | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 242 | 71.9%174 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed BRUTE | 68c | 47.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed BRUTE | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BRT (-2.5) vs CITA Kaizen (+2.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: BRUTE vs CITA Kaizen (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters PlayoffsBRUTE won
- LoL: BRUTE vs CITA Kaizen - Game 1 WinnerBRUTE won
- LoL: BRUTE vs CITA Kaizen - Game 3 WinnerBRUTE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.