TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x26a0…9fcd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Dota2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.7
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$24.2
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$27.3
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Acend (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$188.26
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$19.08
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #16 Group Dbacked Atreides · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+71%+$53.37
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$102.6
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$48.1
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+75%+$299.99
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stagebacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+94.9%+$142.19
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs 1WIN (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$156.75
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffsbacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+42.9%+$60
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$136
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+56.3%+$72
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.8
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+38.9%+$8.4
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs TEAM ORUGA - Map 2 Winnerbacked TEAM ORUGA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+163.2%+$20.19
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3)backed HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$60.52
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+70.8%+$63.71
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic - Map 2 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$174
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic - Map 1 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+51.7%+$62.09
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs EYEBALLERS (BO3)backed EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+134.2%+$67.08
All 22 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Heretics vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$9.05
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+63.9%+$107.06
Game Handicap: BRT (-2.5) vs CITA Kaizen (+2.5)backed CITA Kaizen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$106.28
LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Lodis (BO1) - Rift Legends Group Stagebacked Lodis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+96.1%+$69.58
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Leviatan Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$63.96
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+25.8%+$13.23
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+25%+$38.8
LoL: Team Heretics vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$68
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$97.24
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$139.5
LoL: Joblife vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Group Abacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+85.2%+$243.34
LoL: The Secret Club Esport vs Crvena zvezda Esports (BO3) - EBL Regular Seasonbacked The Secret Club Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+37%+$12.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+73.9%+$62.89
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Inner Circle (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+56.9%+$29
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$58.8
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$278.6
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$21.6
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+42.9%+$18.66
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25.74
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+32.8%+$4.64
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+35.1%+$3.9
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$27.36
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+47.1%+$52.8
Pelicans vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37%+$81.81
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55.2
Sharks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$124.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+415.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qatar Open, Qualification: Quentin Halys vs Jan Choinskibacked Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+415.8%+$74.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacksbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+156.4%+$59.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Torino FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$53.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.