CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Acend (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fc7de0fc969294e2af39d6379eb7b96a3ffba24ee3f74c17d7e06fb47dbd3ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acendof Team Nemesis, Acend
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x861f…a189backed Acend | 38c | 3,319$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.83 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 850$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.5 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea91…2a69backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.8wins | -0.43per pick | 53cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…59c4backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 586.14$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Acend | 33c | 370$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.9 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26a0…9fcdbacked Team Nemesis | 58c | 322$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.26 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Team Nemesis | 58c | 310.2$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Nemesis | 61c | 290.54$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.04 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ed…063bbacked Acend | 39c | 250$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Team Nemesis | 66c | 237.98$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Team Nemesis | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Acend | 41c | 222$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.26 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Team Nemesis | 61c | 160$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Team Nemesis | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2205…8089backed Team Nemesis | 11c | 96.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Acend | 55c | 52.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 240 | 55.8%134 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b2…2e58backed Acend | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa04e…3550backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 32.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Acend | 42c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Team Nemesis | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed Team Nemesis | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked Team Nemesis | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.