TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a18…2ef0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
340
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NFL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 59 out of 100; worst Olympics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT24055.8%134 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 240 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$63.16
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$78.86
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$456
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$163.64
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.14
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$78.4
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$51.08
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.44
Showing 25 of 240 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$548.57
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,609Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,609.27
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11,004.8
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$8,244Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,243.8
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,140Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+59.5%+$1,274.29
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,130Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$439.57
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+112.8%+$45.11
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+108.3%+$39
Hawks vs. Bullsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+117.4%+$37.57
Suns vs. Hawksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$4,250
Spurs vs. Netsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+35.4%+$708.99
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$1,500
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,555Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$2,555
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+37%+$1,479.08
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,440Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+100.6%+$2,454.11
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,033Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+42.9%+$1,728.46
Suns vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$222
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$1,050
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,434Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+28.2%+$404.59
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$450
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,646Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$1,646
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST+138.1%+$483.33
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$222
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1580%12 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+35.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$65.88
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST+127.3%+$38.18
Commanders vs. Buccaneersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+143.9%+$34.54
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+150%+$39
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$7,698Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+37%+$2,847.21
Seahawks vs. Bearsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,393Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+47.1%+$1,596.71
Ravens vs. Texansbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+35.1%+$1,054.05
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,482Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+31.6%+$1,099.58
Rams vs. Jetsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,847Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+66.7%+$2,564.67
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,444Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$4,444
Falcons vs. Raidersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,231Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+37%+$825.16
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+33.3%+$3,666.67
Packers vs. Seahawksbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14,975Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST+71.3%+$10,681.58
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST-100%-$500
Browns vs. Broncosbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$260
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Six Kings Slam: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$6,473Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,472.79
European Open: Raphael Collignon vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+137.8%+$2,480.5
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Sebastian Korda vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,786Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$4,246.34
Almaty Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Corentin Moutetbacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,494Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,494.19
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Holger Rune vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,053Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,052.54
European Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+33%+$329.91
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Ugo Humbert vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,229Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,229
Almaty Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Alex Michelsenbacked Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Holger Rune vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$561.77
European Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+44.5%+$444.53
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Ugo Humbert vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Canucks vs. Hurricanesbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Wild vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Canadiens vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$643Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+73.5%+$472.47
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Rangers vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,999Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+74.8%+$1,494.88
All 6 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-72.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Women's Knockout - Switzerland vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$300
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$8,435Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$5,603.53
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+51.7%+$258.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rabby launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,999.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,614Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,613.57
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15,699Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15,699.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yale Bulldogs vs. Harvard Crimsonbacked Yale Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+100%+$51.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+49.3%+$99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a candidate from another party win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$10.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2backed Dubois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Texas vs. Charlotte 49ersbacked Charlotte 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$6,164Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,164
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.