TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Mavericks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$201,077
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$212,124

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,077 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 344 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3168…6734backed Mavericks16c14,963$2,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,355.7219137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e6…cc3abacked Mavericks63c12,206$7,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,695.962365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Mavericks1c11,300$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.91,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9981…63b4backed Clippers34c10,008$3,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,605.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick33cpaid+48.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5685…c0d3backed Mavericks66c10,002$6,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,601.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f59…a01abacked Clippers53c9,184$4,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,271.138561.2%52 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Clippers57c6,219$3,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,680.9761532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Clippers37c6,206$2,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,915.5265642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Mavericks61c6,067$3,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,682.9849849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8eb…c973backed Mavericks51c5,576$2,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,844250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Mavericks1c4,268$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3514129.1%41 W · 100 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a18…2ef0backed Mavericks60c4,232$2,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5552642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Clippers30c3,300$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,309.931,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc68a…0e4abacked Clippers48c3,031$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,576.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cc7…40d7backed Clippers76c2,801$2,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Clippers42c2,729$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.1872241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Mavericks50c2,713$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.2639843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ae…4876backed Clippers38c2,625$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.763537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Clippers38c2,621$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,614.8512154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd42…3d0cbacked Clippers36c2,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+55.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Mavericks70c2,400$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.9837954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x133b…2f22backed Clippers47c2,294$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.11944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Clippers40c2,142$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.2837448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Clippers38c2,010$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.21,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Mavericks2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405911.9%7 W · 52 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-50.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x05d7…676fbacked Mavericks12c1,853$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.849625%24 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Clippers36c1,795$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.5633752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers48c1,685$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.093,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16fd…5b47backed Mavericks33c1,502$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb370…0cb0backed Clippers51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7356450%32 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51e5…e26cbacked Mavericks66c1,413$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.2812651.6%65 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Mavericks15c1,350$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011135.1%39 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Mavericks62c1,332$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.1328063.9%179 W · 101 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mavericks62c1,328$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.4996447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Clippers50c1,173$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.8548137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8167…3051backed Clippers74c1,065$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.44841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x645e…d120backed Mavericks63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63015341.8%64 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Mavericks53c1,000$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.251,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Mavericks66c999.68$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.6329148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Clippers33c980$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.8677745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Clippers29c970.01$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.711,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Mavericks56c909.44$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.5875347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeca…9826backed Mavericks56c895.92$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003826.3%10 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Mavericks31c704.51$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.48343.4%36 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Mavericks57c702.52$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.959338.7%36 W · 57 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+91.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Mavericks52c700$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3647536%27 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4911…1eaabacked Mavericks73c670.02$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.41933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34da…a7efbacked Clippers30c670$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4691540%6 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Mavericks62c653.47$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.153839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Mavericks62c599.98$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.9972341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09a5…b5c3backed Clippers48c588.49$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.763050%15 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61e1…adf1backed Mavericks52c580$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.67548%36 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Clippers72c554.96$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.534169.5%237 W · 104 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd824…480abacked Mavericks63c540$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.2825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid+49.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e22…699fbacked Clippers37c540$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick37cpaid+60.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Clippers31c532.76$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.5685347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb44a…8e18backed Clippers49c514.41$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.8112033.3%40 W · 80 L-11.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Mavericks66c508.98$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.381,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Clippers45c501.51$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.8373051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfda5…9bdabacked Clippers50c499.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502540%10 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-37.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e34…8163backed Clippers30c480$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3361100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba35…ed82backed Mavericks70c480$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+203%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Mavericks68c469.68$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.927731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Mavericks4c450$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1913611.8%16 W · 120 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Mavericks12c447.56$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5393036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Mavericks6c444.82$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.481,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Clippers57c432.6$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.511,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b3a…16fbbacked Clippers32c411.18$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.0517846.1%82 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Mavericks64c410$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.170147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x893d…6b68backed Mavericks9c405.64$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.516431.3%20 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Mavericks58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23230440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Mavericks61c400$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24215234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9bda…186dbacked Mavericks63c396.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fa9…39a1backed Mavericks33c370$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0448741.9%204 W · 283 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Clippers55c361.61$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.6117838.2%68 W · 110 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Mavericks41c353.72$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.0325957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Clippers37c342.62$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.851,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Clippers38c342.34$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.3438942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74bc…3d45backed Mavericks15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-67.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Mavericks59c333.11$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9145251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x624f…2fa6backed Mavericks30c333.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.925536.4%20 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc2…9d4fbacked Clippers49c333.04$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.853669.4%25 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Mavericks70c333$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.120245.5%92 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Mavericks38c331.18$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ed5…a76ebacked Mavericks64c313.3$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015558.7%91 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mavericks20c310.8$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.731,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4369…8525backed Mavericks70c310.02$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa747…c45abacked Clippers30c310$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+72.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Mavericks68c310$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21218666.1%123 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Clippers39c300$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.689353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Mavericks67c298.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007363%46 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x710c…ee60backed Clippers69c294.75$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3710054%54 W · 46 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaced…5139backed Clippers38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.161154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91db…9b6ebacked Clippers38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.16650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a95…4976backed Mavericks63c261.9$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+43.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e17…779abacked Mavericks64c261.19$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.162979.3%23 W · 6 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick64cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Clippers44c260$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.6325651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Mavericks68c255$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.8985542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6a…5726backed Clippers43c250$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.54240.5%17 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Mavericks63c238.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507346.6%34 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.