TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x089b…2193

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
344
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 53 out of 100; worst NFL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT27731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 277 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.17
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.74
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$886Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$885.59
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$620
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+300%+$2,969.79
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,008
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.95
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+560.2%+$5,155.18
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$989.99
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$799Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$901
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+300%+$3,000
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$700
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$2,190
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,979.99
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$547.99
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,320
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$2,100
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$976Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+400%+$3,904
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$6,479.87
Showing 25 of 277 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$429
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$324
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+575.7%+$345.41
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$879Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+127.3%+$1,118.12
Will Tottenham win on 2025-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,081Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+112.8%+$1,219.38
Will Liverpool win on 2024-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$381
Will Man Utd win on 2024-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$210
Will Brighton vs. Wolves end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT+354.5%+$157.12
Will Villa win on 2024-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$260
Will Liverpool win on 2024-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+69.5%+$142.97
Will Arsenal win on 2024-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$126.19
Will Villa win on 2024-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+185.7%+$371.33
Will Tottenham beat Brighton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$150.5
Will the match between Aston Villa and Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT+279.6%+$531.55
Will Chelsea beat Nottingham Forest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$67
Will Leicester City beat Bournemouth?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+222.6%+$222.58
Will the match between Brentford and Wolverhampton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$100.66
Will Liverpool beat Crystal Palace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$59.76
Will Manchester United beat Tottenham?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$186.88
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$525
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$399.88
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$330
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$900.06
Dodgers vs. Mets Series Winnerbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+58.7%+$148
NLCS: Dodgers vs. Mets Game 6backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+88.7%+$160.91
ALCS: Guardians vs. Yankees Game 5backed Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$220
Mets vs. Dodgers - Game 5backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$250
Mets vs. Dodgers - Game 4backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT+87.9%+$105.2
Yankees vs. Guardians - Game 3backed Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT+100.6%+$97.41
Will the Mets or Dodgers win Game 3 of the NLCS?backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT+100%+$168.15
Yankees vs. Guardians - Game 2backed Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$234
Will the Yankees and Guardians combine for 8 or more runs?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Dodgers vs. Padres Series Winnerbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+103%+$287.44
NLDS: Dodgers vs. Padres Game 2backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$18.76
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$579.99
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$910Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+191.4%+$1,740.5
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$2,519.95
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$208.72
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$502.53
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.5
LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$532
LoL: Top Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO1)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$439.99
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$55
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-73.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$960
Will Juventus beat RB Leipzig?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT+203%+$251.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win on 2025-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$1,221.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the HBO documentary identify Nick Szabo as Satoshi?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT+41.2%+$37.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$842Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$842
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.