Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United beat Tottenham?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x034c9d5149eca9faec85f29b37571c88978f106815ea3fb29bc3df75fa71d0b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 55c | 78,236$42,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,244.61 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Yes | 45c | 62,717$28,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,177.73 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 45c | 17,746$7,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,932.17 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…b89cbacked Yes | 26c | 3,526$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…e46ebacked Yes | 64c | 2,770$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 78c | 2,431$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.83 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…73fabacked Yes | 46c | 2,343$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 58c | 2,000$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.45 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.97 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 7c | 1,201$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.31 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +15.6wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +437.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 59c | 1,172$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.06 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 40c | 1,149$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.05 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x025e…0420backed No | 55c | 1,122$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.75 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d57…c26bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,104$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…97febacked Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed6…da8abacked Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5338…c5a5backed No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe204…96b1backed Yes | 44c | 997.9$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 42c | 951.63$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.68 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…10d5backed Yes | 38c | 895.65$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.83 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 71c | 601.02$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.19 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…e767backed Yes | 44c | 587.86$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…0a1dbacked Yes | 42c | 559.52$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yes | 40c | 555.97$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.39 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…9b56backed No | 60c | 545.38$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d6…ee57backed No | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…106dbacked No | 58c | 518.29$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed No | 56c | 473.46$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.32 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 58c | 436.69$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.41 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Yes | 43c | 434.6$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.88 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a23…079fbacked Yes | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ec…9467backed Yes | 44c | 375.77$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed Yes | 46c | 367.39$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…7205backed Yes | 42c | 338.1$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…998dbacked Yes | 46c | 290.04$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.42 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…e885backed No | 60c | 280$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1896…5154backed No | 60c | 280$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe0…5a3abacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e58…1bb3backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed42…7718backed No | 55c | 205.45$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…db6ebacked No | 58c | 197.52$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d81…08cfbacked No | 56c | 183.93$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…809ebacked No | 56c | 182.14$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…47a0backed Yes | 45c | 172.72$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 42c | 150.05$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f3…bc53backed Yes | 46c | 137.48$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed No | 62c | 130$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8d…b65bbacked Yes | 42c | 128.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9451…e186backed No | 59c | 128.91$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 41c | 128.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…8b52backed Yes | 45c | 113.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…2549backed Yes | 41c | 106$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes | 12c | 100.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…7f95backed No | 60c | 99.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…2e71backed No | 60c | 99.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca8…350bbacked No | 60c | 99.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c25…ec8cbacked No | 60c | 99.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…801bbacked No | 60c | 99.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…f31dbacked Yes | 41c | 98.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf34…86a2backed Yes | 41c | 98.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6065…c286backed Yes | 41c | 98.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…5100backed Yes | 41c | 98.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…8a5cbacked Yes | 42c | 96.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…f634backed Yes | 15c | 89.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…e4b6backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -47%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…eccabacked Yes | 45c | 67.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…ec7ebacked No | 57c | 66.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee72…59ebbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…ad8ebacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bab…4d7dbacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ff…16f2backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed No | 55c | 46.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked No | 58c | 43.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35cd…160fbacked No | 57c | 36.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9504…0371backed No | 56c | 35.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ea…b635backed No | 57c | 34.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a6…78a2backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9603…8cefbacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…82a5backed No | 58c | 32.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1673…e40dbacked No | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Yes | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…a4b2backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…f978backed Yes | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d6…a0f6backed No | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…95a2backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 58c | 18.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United beat Tottenham?this page
- Will Manchester United vs. Tottenham end in a draw?No won
- Will Tottenham beat Manchester United?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.