Premier League · resolved market
Will Tottenham beat Manchester United?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1b8f1ebe4312f0a185161385f52a25c0eb75b4ee84d4bccff312ad637ca325e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74a9…b89cbacked Yes | 63c | 4,994$3,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 67c | 3,934$2,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.69 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 70c | 3,822$2,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,675.54 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 45c | 3,709$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.16 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Yes | 30c | 3,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…8775backed Yes | 29c | 2,331$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 5c | 2,009$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.18 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…44afbacked Yes | 68c | 1,750$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.79 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e4…24abbacked Yes | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…f74dbacked Yes | 31c | 1,435$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…0901backed Yes | 30c | 1,219$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.21 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 69c | 1,160$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.15 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 15c | 959.5$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.53 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 70c | 797.01$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.12 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 64c | 792.87$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.75 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 68c | 678.97$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.36 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 32c | 624.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.68 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 65c | 539.84$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.9 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbba…1ac3backed Yes | 54c | 535.17$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 65c | 475.16$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.85 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…998dbacked Yes | 32c | 375$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 32c | 338.06$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.88 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f2…d296backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 32c | 333$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.44 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 30c | 317.14$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…b9cfbacked Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd122…11e0backed No | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…ef65backed Yes | 33c | 293.94$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa44f…38b7backed No | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2347…90b1backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +147.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…512bbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 68c | 210$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a6…95d3backed Yes | 35c | 196.41$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ea…9cd7backed Yes | 34c | 188.33$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.84 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 43c | 184.21$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.21 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…c715backed Yes | 34c | 180$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…a95abacked No | 26c | 150.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…a8dbbacked Yes | 57c | 122.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…bfffbacked Yes | 56c | 122.74$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…3f6bbacked No | 69c | 120$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…7fe2backed Yes | 57c | 105.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfed…75f8backed Yes | 58c | 102.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…60e7backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…4ad3backed Yes | 34c | 99.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…116bbacked Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a5…3b86backed No | 50c | 68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1be…19b7backed Yes | 56c | 67.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…219cbacked Yes | 35c | 64.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9451…e186backed No | 66c | 64.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…3b7abacked Yes | 43c | 62.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…9aecbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17b4…8a91backed Yes | 35c | 56.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked Yes | 31c | 50.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 31c | 49.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…af29backed Yes | 33c | 49.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 68c | 48.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x215f…a792backed Yes | 34c | 43.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea19…0b96backed Yes | 35c | 42.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a6…78a2backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff42…83e5backed Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed No | 68c | 38.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…020dbacked Yes | 35c | 35.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5940…c64cbacked Yes | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…6c29backed Yes | 48c | 31.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b7…e7d0backed No | 66c | 27.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0b…8da5backed Yes | 55c | 20.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed Yes | 61c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…511fbacked No | 70c | 17.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham beat Manchester United?this page
- Will Manchester United beat Tottenham?No won
- Will Manchester United vs. Tottenham end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.