TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x05ff…b701

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
224
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2025, EDT7648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Twolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Grizzlies vs. Pistonsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$50.77
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Celtics vs. Grizzliesbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Clippers vs. Magicbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Heat vs. Wizardsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Jazz vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Mavericks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+37%+$18.49
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Kings vs. Magicbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST6544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brighton vs. Leicester end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+488.2%+$244.12
Will Leicester win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Will Brentford win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Brighton vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Brentford win on 2025-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+156.4%+$78.21
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Will Brighton win on 2024-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$75
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+170.3%+$85.14
Will Leicester win on 2024-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Will West Ham win on 2024-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+103.6%+$51.78
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Will Brentford win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+212.5%+$106.25
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST2540%10 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Qarabag win on 2025-08-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Will Feyenoord win on 2025-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will AC Milan win on 2025-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+730.8%+$365.38
Will Benfica win on 2025-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+203%+$101.52
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+257.1%+$128.57
Will Liverpool beat PSV Eindhoven?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Barcelona beat Atalanta?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Juventus beat RB Leipzig?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT+203%+$101.52
Will Club Brugge beat Sturm Graz?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT+151%+$75.5
Will Real Madrid beat LOSC Lille?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Will Benfica beat Red Star Belgrade?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT+88.2%+$88.24
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Club Brugge?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+97.9%+$239.74
Will Bologna beat Shakhtar Donetsk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
Will RB Salzburg beat Sparta Praha?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool beat AC Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2024, EDT+100%+$15
All 25 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopesbacked Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Bryce Mitchell vs. Jean Silvabacked Mitchell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Gaethje vs. Fizievbacked Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+141.8%+$141.83
Turner vs. Bahamondesbacked Turner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
UFC 304: Leon Edwards vs. Belal Muhammadbacked Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 304: Tom Aspinall vs. Curtis Blaydesbacked Aspinall · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2024, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
UFC 304: King Green vs. Paddy Pimblettbacked Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 304: Arnold Allen vs. Giga Chikadzebacked Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2024, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
UFC 304: Muhammad Mokaev vs. Manel Kapebacked Mokaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2024, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
UFC 303: Who will win - Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Macy Chiasson?backed Chiasson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2024, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 28, 2025, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Panathinaikos win on 2025-08-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Malmo FF win on 2025-08-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+150%+$30
Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+409.3%+$204.67
Will Lyon win on 2025-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Lazio win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Braga beat Maccabi TLV?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$12.88
Will Frankfurt beat Viktoria Plzen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Will FK RFS beat FCSB?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Will Fenerbahce beat Union Saint-Gilloise?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2024, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+77.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2024, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+58.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia Southern vs. Sam Houstonbacked Sam Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+184.3%+$92.17
Penn State vs. Oregonbacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Ohio vs. Miami (OH)backed Ohio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+112.8%+$112.77
UNLV vs. Boise Statebacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Tulane vs. Armybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+194.1%+$97.06
All 5 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+194.1%+$48.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elon out of Trump administration before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+92.3%+$23.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 8 and 10 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Ding · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' record September opening?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lazio win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manhattan vs. Incarnate Wordbacked Manhattan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.