NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4973a18af025a609ce672ba4033bf3a411a22b923325c18d0fb8d3f5ae0af009
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Celtics, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $427,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $457,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $427,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Celtics | 33c | 36,561$12,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,091.05 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a5…0c5bbacked Celtics | 34c | 27,470$9,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,339.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7d…111cbacked Magic | 66c | 26,502$17,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,010.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…d302backed Celtics | 34c | 26,502$9,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,010.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…ebdcbacked Magic | 66c | 24,848$16,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,448.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Magic | 69c | 21,834$15,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,718.89 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Celtics | 31c | 19,490$5,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,965.22 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Magic | 60c | 19,332$11,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,663.92 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Celtics | 33c | 18,236$6,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,001.03 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Magic | 67c | 17,488$11,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,743.5 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 62c | 10,608$6,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,023.96 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Magic | 60c | 10,000$6,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,975.69 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Magic | 68c | 9,473$6,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.62 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Magic | 64c | 8,655$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,154.7 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Magic | 74c | 7,680$5,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.22 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Celtics | 16c | 7,116$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.41 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Celtics | 15c | 7,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Celtics | 37c | 5,405$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Magic | 73c | 5,074$3,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.46 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Celtics | 30c | 5,068$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.08 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Magic | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.98 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Celtics | 4c | 4,702$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.5 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Magic | 68c | 4,646$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.48 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…e599backed Celtics | 46c | 4,500$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Celtics | 11c | 4,420$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics | 15c | 4,338$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.77 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Magic | 66c | 4,316$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.94 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…12b7backed Celtics | 7c | 4,150$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Magic | 73c | 4,061$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.87 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Celtics | 2c | 3,960$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.87 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Magic | 50c | 3,960$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.01 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Celtics | 27c | 3,900$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Celtics | 30c | 3,764$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.48 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Magic | 72c | 3,614$2,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.86 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Magic | 66c | 3,590$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.74 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Celtics | 39c | 3,500$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Celtics | 59c | 3,240$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.78 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x890d…f10cbacked Celtics | 6c | 3,228$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Celtics | 1c | 3,110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Magic | 69c | 3,033$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.09 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 70c | 2,880$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.61 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Magic | 68c | 2,783$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.1 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Magic | 74c | 2,701$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.24 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…f95bbacked Magic | 66c | 2,622$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Magic | 73c | 2,507$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.58 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Celtics | 25c | 2,411$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.72 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Celtics | 25c | 2,400$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…1977backed Celtics | 42c | 2,392$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.35 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Magic | 54c | 2,315$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.99 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Magic | 74c | 2,277$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.95 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Celtics | 22c | 2,263$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.19 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Celtics | 3c | 2,200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Celtics | 28c | 2,110$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.76 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Celtics | 1c | 2,080$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Celtics | 11c | 2,000$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Celtics | 5c | 2,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Magic | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…1715backed Celtics | 37c | 1,980$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Magic | 61c | 1,834$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.92 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Celtics | 40c | 1,785$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.71 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Celtics | 15c | 1,650$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.5 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Celtics | 34c | 1,632$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe634…7a95backed Celtics | 6c | 1,625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Celtics | 35c | 1,593$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.81 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Magic | 53c | 1,442$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.63 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Celtics | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Celtics | 33c | 1,259$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.84 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Celtics | 28c | 1,237$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.84 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Celtics | 37c | 1,237$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.24 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Celtics | 27c | 1,204$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.09 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Celtics | 38c | 1,200$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.98 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Magic | 72c | 1,196$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.85 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Celtics | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Celtics | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Celtics | 26c | 999.98$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Magic | 65c | 999.97$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…2067backed Celtics | 10c | 972.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Celtics | 42c | 954.76$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Celtics | 51c | 950$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Magic | 65c | 912.78$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.82 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…e9cdbacked Magic | 74c | 910$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Magic | 69c | 880$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Celtics | 31c | 880$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.8 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Magic | 73c | 837.16$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.03 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca2…e321backed Celtics | 16c | 803.59$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.52 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1d…b787backed Celtics | 29c | 758.62$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…0d4fbacked Celtics | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Magic | 58c | 725.01$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.51 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Magic | 73c | 700$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Celtics | 41c | 682.1$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.66 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked Celtics | 53c | 650$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.29 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Celtics | 33c | 641.57$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.34 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Magic | 74c | 626.99$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.59 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Magic | 73c | 584.7$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.87 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Celtics | 2c | 570.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Celtics | 29c | 563.95$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.09 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…affbbacked Magic | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Magic | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b4…f541backed Celtics | 28c | 532.79$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.18 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Magic | 74c | 530.6$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.96 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.