TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb652…2db4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
617
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT37627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 376 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$115,108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$115,107.65
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,244.92
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12,477Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,477.5
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,327Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$4,723.67
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$65,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$65,030.15
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40,180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$40,180.3
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29,857Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29,856.8
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10,252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,251.86
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$64,950Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$21,084.74
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37,388Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$37,387.97
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19,841Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+210.1%+$41,694.72
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25,499.99
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$9,834Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+106.4%+$10,466.13
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46,903Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$46,902.99
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26,618Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$26,617.98
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$326.61
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59,714Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$59,713.61
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$4,266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,266.01
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,719Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+112%+$5,285.22
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,027.24
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41,622Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$41,621.71
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14,602Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,602.36
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39,952Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+101%+$40,358.48
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8,400
Showing 25 of 376 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT7324.7%18 W · 55 L-9.8wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-43.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
MLB — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,075.16
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$497.61
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,674Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,674.45
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.33
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$381.38
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,262.36
Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.97
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,338Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,337.87
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$687Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$323.1
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,675Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$4,458.85
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.53
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,003.59
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$507.66
Kansas City Royals vs. Athleticsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$103.58
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,739Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,738.8
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$354.98
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$965Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$965.27
Diamondbacks vs. Rockiesbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,121Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,120.99
Phillies vs. Nationalsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,444Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+82.2%+$1,187.45
Twins vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$621Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$620.61
Mets vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,335Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,334.92
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$342.7
Rays vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,683Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,682.72
Red Sox vs. Guardiansbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,557Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+94%+$2,403.03
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT4436.4%16 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,368Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,367.69
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$786.54
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$830.21
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,064Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,064.35
Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$67.16
Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,906.88
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$820.1
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$713Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+125.7%+$896.04
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$107.55
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,171Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,171.31
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.62
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.2
Flames vs. Kingsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,445Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT+111.8%+$2,733.22
Red Wings vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$848Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$847.62
Blackhawks vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,345Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,344.99
Avalanche vs. Ducksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+414.7%+$1,259.66
Blue Jackets vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.55
Bruins vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.68
Utah vs. Starsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+43.4%+$121
Jets vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$133.55
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.59
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.59
Capitals vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$777.78
Rangers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+87.9%+$389.42
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.32
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT3240.6%13 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+39.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$88,655Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$88,655.02
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$637Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$374.15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11,934Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,933.77
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10,545Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$20,469.29
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$132,906Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+194%+$257,806.57
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55,575Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$29,925
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$98,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$98,340.3
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.89
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27,366Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27,366.12
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$744Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$248.11
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$151.46
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,703Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$3,854.43
Will Wolves win on 2025-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$527.76
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$837Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$837.2
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,624Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,623.92
Will Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+910%+$620.62
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,505Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,505.25
Will Manchester City vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+900%+$100.8
Will Tottenham win on 2025-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$939Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$600.6
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.99
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,061.72
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$929.61
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$938Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+49.2%+$462.12
Will West Ham win on 2025-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+353.4%+$598.61
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,999.97
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Jack Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$492.93
UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Norma Dumont · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$994.95
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Rafa Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$983Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,154.32
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Menifield (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Oezdemir · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+51.5%+$287.33
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Almabayev (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Almabayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+49.3%+$184.25
UFC Fight Night: Rock vs. Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Aliev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+35.1%+$97.35
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$62.68
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.58
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,059Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$432.66
Miller vs. Petrovićbacked Petrović · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.65
Machado Garry vs. Pratesbacked Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$795Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$508.56
Smith vs. Mingyangbacked Mingyang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$177.6
Chikadze vs. Onamabacked Chikadze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$207.4
Aliskerov vs. Munizbacked Aliskerov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$126
Wellmaker vs. Saaimanbacked Wellmaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,030Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$950.4
Yair Rodriguez vs. Patricio Pitbullbacked Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,094Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$1,579.81
Nikita Krylov vs. Dominick Reyesbacked Krylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$435
Dan Ige vs. Sean Woodsonbacked Ige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$1,801.79
Moreno vs. Ercegbacked Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$182.59
Leon Edwards vs. Sean Bradybacked Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$13.95
Jan Blachowicz vs. Carlos Ulbergbacked Ulberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$16.7
Lone'er Kavanagh vs. Felipe Dos Stanosbacked Kavanagh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$993Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$425.7
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2516%4 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-72.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$5,082Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$5,081.85
Falcons vs. Cardinalsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+150%+$300
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$979Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$978.9
Jets vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.98
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$180.66
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$59.87
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+81.8%+$64.14
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$73.44
Falcons vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,015Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST-100%-$1,015.27
Packers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST-100%-$10
Bills vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,775Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$1,774.67
Cowboys vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$17.89
Rams vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$719.67
Bills vs. Ramsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$126
Falcons vs. Vikingsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$23.01
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST-100%-$343.61
Browns vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$667Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+29.9%+$199.31
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$256.04
Eagles vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$24.2
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$85.28
Titans vs. Commandersbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$61.14
Cardinals vs. Vikingsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$208.83
Dolphins vs. Packersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$70.57
Giants vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST+35.1%+$132.87
Bears vs. Lionsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$188.67
All 25 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-44.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$73,080Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$100,919.98
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$7,259Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,258.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27,213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27,213
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$109,620Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$151,379.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
California vs. UNLVbacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+26.6%+$4.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel military action against Iraq before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.