Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: JD Gaming vs. Bilibili Gaming
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x648e7c54a8a2e39bb44fdec7e52926458e7be0d05439cfd8afbe4c86226b1482
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof JD Gaming, Bilibili Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed JD Gaming | 26c | 31,978$8,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,349.9 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Bilibili Gaming | 74c | 22,116$16,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,750.16 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed JD Gaming | 31c | 4,835$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.5 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee3…58b2backed JD Gaming | 16c | 4,670$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed JD Gaming | 25c | 4,139$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.57 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…5ec5backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 4,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Bilibili Gaming | 73c | 3,867$2,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.94 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Bilibili Gaming | 71c | 3,722$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.3 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed JD Gaming | 25c | 3,403$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.23 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed JD Gaming | 21c | 2,532$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.76 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 1,894$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.4 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Bilibili Gaming | 73c | 1,699$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed JD Gaming | 24c | 1,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.11 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Bilibili Gaming | 75c | 1,454$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.5 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked JD Gaming | 25c | 1,260$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.23 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…5e4ebacked JD Gaming | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 951.7$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.69 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Bilibili Gaming | 75c | 700$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Bilibili Gaming | 71c | 693$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.44 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 74c | 675$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed JD Gaming | 26c | 640.6$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.52 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Bilibili Gaming | 73c | 555$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.85 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…39aabacked Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 535$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.6 | 245 | 70.6%173 W · 72 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed JD Gaming | 22c | 499.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 388 | 37.4%145 W · 243 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed JD Gaming | 22c | 468.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.65 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Bilibili Gaming | 71c | 451.55$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.95 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Bilibili Gaming | 75c | 406$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked JD Gaming | 26c | 400$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.25 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 400$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Bilibili Gaming | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 98 | 70.4%69 W · 29 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd89d…d6b7backed Bilibili Gaming | 75c | 346.52$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.63 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Bilibili Gaming | 74c | 345.19$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.75 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked JD Gaming | 26c | 307.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked JD Gaming | 26c | 300.27$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.07 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked JD Gaming | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 73c | 281.86$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.55 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 273.33$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed JD Gaming | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 433 | 48.7%211 W · 222 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb326…7075backed JD Gaming | 13c | 223.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 174 | 10.9%19 W · 155 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed JD Gaming | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 538 | 29.4%158 W · 380 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…cb47backed JD Gaming | 32c | 204.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed JD Gaming | 29c | 204$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…3f79backed Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 202.51$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed JD Gaming | 26c | 199.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…3db0backed JD Gaming | 7c | 182.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5a…b7aabacked JD Gaming | 28c | 179$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 157.33$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4b…aba8backed JD Gaming | 28c | 148.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Bilibili Gaming | 75c | 141.51$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…2e90backed Bilibili Gaming | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8997…c11abacked Bilibili Gaming | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bilibili Gaming | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed JD Gaming | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed JD Gaming | 27c | 119.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 618 | 49.8%308 W · 310 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 112$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked JD Gaming | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 409 | 16.1%66 W · 343 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed JD Gaming | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked Bilibili Gaming | 69c | 97.63$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Bilibili Gaming | 73c | 90.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed JD Gaming | 26c | 77.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked JD Gaming | 24c | 73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked JD Gaming | 28c | 70.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Bilibili Gaming | 74c | 62.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 181 | 65.7%119 W · 62 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed JD Gaming | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 74c | 38.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 641 | 46.5%298 W · 343 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa1…c02dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 70c | 28.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd4…8598backed Bilibili Gaming | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…2b45backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Bilibili Gaming | 74c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 386 | 24.4%94 W · 292 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…a5fbbacked Bilibili Gaming | 74c | 20.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.