TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe216…cd12

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
244
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Tennis, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 59 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT7047.1%33 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: Nongshim Red Force vs. KT Rolsterbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,069Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$356.25
League of Legends: Hanwha Life Esports vs. Nongshim Red Forcebacked Nongshim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$347.3
League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. DRXbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,584Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+26.7%+$1,490.06
League of Legends: T1 vs. Hanwha Life Esportsbacked Hanwha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$395.59
League of Legends: Weibo Gaming vs. Invictus Gamingbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+53.6%+$104.64
League of Legends: Team WE vs. Top Esportsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,033Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,033.44
League of Legends: Hanwha Life Esports vs. Gen.Gbacked Hanwha Life · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.48
League of Legends: Nongshim Red Force vs. T1backed Nongshim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.95
League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. BNK FEARXbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$969Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+28.8%+$279.38
League of Legends: JD Gaming vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+26.9%+$201.69
League of Legends: LGD Gaming vs. ThunderTalk Gamingbacked ThunderTalk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.96
League of Legends: DRX vs. DN Freecsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,386Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+41.2%+$570.87
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. Invictus Gamingbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12,198Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,198.22
League of Legends: FunPlus Phoenix vs. Weibo Gamingbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.58
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. Top Esportsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,722Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+45.3%+$2,140.85
League of Legends: Hanwha Life Esports vs. Gen.Gbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,854Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+26.1%+$1,005.89
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Top Esportsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+39.6%+$63.48
League of Legends: Ultra Prime vs. ThunderTalk Gamingbacked ThunderTalk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
League of Legends: DRX vs. BNK FEARXbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,171Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+58.8%+$688.52
League of Legends: JD Gaming vs. Team WEbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,187Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+39.6%+$470.33
League of Legends: Hanwha Life Esports vs. T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,981Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+41.8%+$828.99
League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. Invictus Gamingbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$305.41
League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. DN Freecsbacked OKSavingsBank · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$9,041Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,040.88
League of Legends: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. EDward Gamingbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,456Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+206.4%+$3,004.94
League of Legends: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. LGD Gamingbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+31.1%+$56.76
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 30, 2025, EDT4250%21 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BLAST Open: Imperial vs. Liquidbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$39.75
BLAST Open: Vitality vs. M80backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$64
EWC Cs2: Natus Vincere vs. 3DMAXbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will MOUZ win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$46
IEM Cologne: Spirit vs. MOUZbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$180
IEM Cologne: The MongolZ vs. Natus Vincerebacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
IEM Cologne: MOUZ vs. Spiritbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$48
IEM Cologne: Falcons vs. FURIAbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$133
IEM Cologne: Natus Vincere vs. MOUZbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+85.6%+$47.5
IEM Cologne: Falcons vs. The MongolZbacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+179.3%+$64.2
IEM Cologne: BIG vs. PaiNbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
IEM Cologne: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. HEROICbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,444Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+25.2%+$1,119.19
FISSURE Playground 1: Astralis vs. BetBoombacked BetBoom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.4
FISSURE Playground 1: Complexity vs. SAWbacked Complexity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$147.5
FISSURE Playground 1: BetBoom and HEROICbacked HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$227.67
Will Vitality win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,649Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+110.4%+$2,925.23
Will The MongolZ win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.32
Will MOUZ win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$465.06
Will Natus Vincere win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.51
Will Spirit win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$383.94
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Spirit vs. MOUZbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$208.29
BLAST.tv Austin Major: The MongolZ vs. G2backed The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+35.5%+$179.56
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Spirit vs. NAVIbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+38.1%+$174.87
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Spirit vs. Lynn Visionbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$682Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+33.5%+$228.5
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Spirit vs. paiN Gamingbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,178Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+29.8%+$351.35
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2025, EDT4052.5%21 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,671Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+241.2%+$6,441.34
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+166.6%+$1,954.08
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.84
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
NBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Knicks (To Advance)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.65
Will Stephen Curry Return This Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.55
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$42.12
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$291.37
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.5
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$45.9
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Favorite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.2
Over 209.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+25.9%+$5.15
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$75.41
Spread: Pacers (-0.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,743Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+156%+$4,277.98
Spread: Pacers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$963Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+129.1%+$1,242.94
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$161.95
Will a NBA play-in team win a first round series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+26.3%+$23.46
NBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Warriors (To Advance)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$159.31
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.02
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
NBA Playoffs: Pacers vs. Bucks (To Advance)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.71
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$42.28
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.75
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. White Soxbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$21.73
Tigers vs. White Soxbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.67
Rockies vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.49
Rays vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$43.43
Yankees vs. Angelsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$108.77
Diamondbacks vs. Giantsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+26.5%+$7.97
Rockies vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$43.44
Guardians vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$144.37
Athletics vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+91.9%+$11.72
Royals vs. Raysbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$856Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+112.1%+$960.16
Mets vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+84.5%+$41.23
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$613Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$612.67
Colorado Rockies vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$217.49
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+48.2%+$227.8
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.78
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+51.8%+$75.12
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG beat Chelsea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – To Lift Trophy backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Inter end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$88.57
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$37.7
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$43.68
Will Inter vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.67
Will Barcelona vs. Inter end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$156.98
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.62
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.6
Will Inter win on 2025-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$65.13
Will Aston Villa vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$42.42
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$282.39
UEFA Nations League Round of 8: Netherlands vs. Spainbacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+31.7%+$23.09
All 13 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2025, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick40cpaid+34.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+161.6%+$23.01
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+112.3%+$20.1
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.67
Will the highest temperature in London be 59°F or higher on March 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$889Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$889.43
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on March 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$103.53
Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on March 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+100%+$12
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 51-52°F on March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+34.7%+$47.65
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+279.2%+$77.44
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on March 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$12.8
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 64°F or higher on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.23
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 62-63°F on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.23
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick41cpaid+111.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+224%+$357.49
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.75
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Shelton backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.42
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.15
French Open: Bublik vs. Draperbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+921.8%+$902.57
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs. Peyton Stearnsbacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$38
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jack Draper backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$22.5
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Barcelona Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+27.4%+$63.75
Miami Open: Korda vs. Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$26.3
Miami Open: Cerundolo vs Dimitrovbacked Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT+96.8%+$81.64
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2025, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.75
Will Brighton vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$20.72
Will Chelsea vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$42.75
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$21.7
Will Manchester United vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$43.38
Will Crystal Palace vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.47
Will Everton vs. Ipswich end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$155.88
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$43.13
Will Fulham win on 2025-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Chelsea win on 2025-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+25%+$13.68
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-79%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.89
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.46
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$61.99
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$21.93
Rangers vs. Senatorsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$63.73
All 5 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+79.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US lifts Russia sanctions before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+258.4%+$128
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-37.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kolkata Knight Riders vs. Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$104.5
Delhi Capitals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$395.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.09
Will Kanye West release an album before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+900%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross less than $20m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+900%+$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+49.9%+$62.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wales win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jai Herbert vs. Chris Padilla backed Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.