NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcec33163e41d7f965a1c83e88798bb448d11408ef67f486f42696aa6f80be918
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Knicks, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,228,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,085,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,228,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 911 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb42d…3d11backed Knicks | 0c | 526,081$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Celtics | 63c | 315,609$199,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115,625.39 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Knicks | 35c | 213,002$74,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,664.51 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d23…aa99backed Celtics | 62c | 203,563$126,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,992.47 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Celtics | 66c | 168,905$111,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,683.91 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Celtics | 63c | 167,093$106,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,012.66 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Celtics | 52c | 158,143$82,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,365.7 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3196…146fbacked Knicks | 36c | 136,889$49,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,280 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Knicks | 24c | 86,532$21,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,120.97 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Knicks | 36c | 85,000$30,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,600 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Knicks | 36c | 66,500$24,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,257.34 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Knicks | 38c | 65,431$24,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,908.16 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Celtics | 71c | 58,365$41,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,086.37 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Knicks | 32c | 55,958$18,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,122.94 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…d139backed Celtics | 64c | 54,695$35,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,690.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…8240backed Knicks | 36c | 53,828$19,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,378.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Celtics | 62c | 48,444$30,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,408.58 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked Knicks | 13c | 43,718$5,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,886.73 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Knicks | 37c | 40,000$14,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,800 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Knicks | 38c | 39,742$14,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,953.33 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Knicks | 8c | 37,081$2,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928.24 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…f347backed Knicks | 40c | 30,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Celtics | 62c | 27,582$17,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,492.73 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Knicks | 34c | 26,500$9,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,060 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Celtics | 62c | 24,622$15,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,356.35 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Knicks | 0c | 24,527$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.91 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Knicks | 46c | 23,243$10,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,803.76 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Knicks | 18c | 22,916$4,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,147.37 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Knicks | 1c | 22,715$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 87 | 14.9%13 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…07b4backed Knicks | 7c | 20,123$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Knicks | 42c | 19,846$8,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,340.39 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Knicks | 37c | 18,656$6,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,863.47 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Knicks | 38c | 18,000$6,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,839.91 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…df44backed Knicks | 37c | 17,568$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Celtics | 61c | 17,452$10,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,788.16 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Knicks | 37c | 17,281$6,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,371.42 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…12c9backed Knicks | 39c | 17,222$6,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,716.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Knicks | 35c | 17,000$6,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,009.99 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Celtics | 65c | 15,928$10,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,639.87 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f86…0fa0backed Knicks | 24c | 15,327$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Knicks | 1c | 15,006$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.57 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Knicks | 37c | 14,865$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef0…20cbbacked Knicks | 16c | 13,716$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.24 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Celtics | 47c | 13,089$6,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,937.2 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Celtics | 64c | 13,077$8,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,757.95 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…6ee2backed Knicks | 2c | 12,877$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.96 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b9…14a1backed Knicks | 35c | 12,670$4,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,439.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Knicks | 1c | 12,500$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Knicks | 37c | 12,224$4,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,534.18 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Knicks | 36c | 12,000$4,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,280 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Knicks | 38c | 11,086$4,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,204.47 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Knicks | 38c | 10,395$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 314 | 53.5%168 W · 146 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Knicks | 31c | 10,180$3,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,188 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Knicks | 37c | 10,000$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,659.99 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dee…2ab7backed Knicks | 1c | 9,949$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.18 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…8826backed Knicks | 32c | 9,255$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,995.76 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Celtics | 67c | 9,109$6,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,965.14 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Knicks | 35c | 8,657$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Celtics | 57c | 8,571$4,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,679.69 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Knicks | 9c | 8,491$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.61 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Celtics | 63c | 8,000$5,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,979.97 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e44…e83fbacked Knicks | 37c | 7,920$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,930.42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Celtics | 62c | 7,801$4,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.34 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Knicks | 32c | 7,000$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Celtics | 65c | 6,972$4,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.16 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…e0a1backed Knicks | 46c | 6,864$3,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,157.39 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Knicks | 37c | 6,822$2,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,526.11 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Knicks | 46c | 6,778$3,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,096.67 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Knicks | 26c | 6,500$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.93 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Knicks | 37c | 6,294$2,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.84 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…667fbacked Celtics | 63c | 6,190$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.48 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Celtics | 63c | 6,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.97 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Knicks | 31c | 5,962$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.02 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Knicks | 37c | 5,868$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x188d…6583backed Knicks | 37c | 5,792$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.25 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecf7…ee71backed Knicks | 39c | 5,733$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…8a0bbacked Knicks | 14c | 5,655$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.78 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Celtics | 62c | 5,602$3,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.9 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Celtics | 63c | 5,578$3,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.89 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Celtics | 53c | 5,558$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,612.09 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Celtics | 62c | 5,555$3,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.9 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Knicks | 4c | 5,473$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Knicks | 37c | 5,432$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.15 | 164 | 36.6%60 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Knicks | 18c | 5,333$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Celtics | 63c | 5,309$3,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.42 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Knicks | 38c | 5,291$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Celtics | 62c | 5,200$3,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Knicks | 39c | 5,130$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.58 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Knicks | 9c | 5,100$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Knicks | 17c | 5,063$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.7 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Knicks | 39c | 5,050$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Celtics | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Knicks | 34c | 5,000$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.66 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Knicks | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Celtics | 65c | 4,923$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.97 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Knicks | 45c | 4,896$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.55 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…96e4backed Knicks | 9c | 4,891$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +7.8wins | +0.15per pick | 17cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Celtics | 64c | 4,574$2,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.11 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Knicks | 25c | 4,555$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.04 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba8…61b7backed Knicks | 2c | 4,485$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.82 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Celticsthis page
- Over 204.5Over won
- Over 205.5Over won
- Over 207.5Over won
- Over 208.5Over won
- Over 209.5Over won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.