TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7e11…9bac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT3050%15 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,513Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$1,453.95
Will Amanda Anisimova win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19,517Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$19,516.62
Wimbledon: Alcaraz vs. Fritz backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$52,648Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$52,648.29
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Anisimova (W) backed Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17,391Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+203%+$35,309.66
French Open: Sabalenka vs. Gauffbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50,000.03
French Open: Musetti vs. Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$34,275Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+36.2%+$12,393.8
French Open: Boisson vs. Gauff backed Boisson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$18,000
French Open: Sabalenka vs. Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,449.99
French Open: Zverev vs. Djokovicbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$796Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$796
French Open: Sinner vs. Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$491.9
French Open: Andreeva vs. Boissonbacked Boisson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$6,600
French Open: Keys vs. Gauff backed Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20,032Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+75.7%+$15,167.99
French Open: Musetti vs. Tiafoebacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32,385Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+25.1%+$8,115
French Open: Svitolina vs. Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10,049Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$3,001.5
French Open: Sabalenka vs. Qinwenbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$3,900
French Open: Sinner vs. Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.4
French Open: Bublik vs. Draperbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,004Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+654.9%+$13,124.04
French Open: Zverev vs. Griekspoor backed Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$9,978Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,977.66
French Open: Musetti vs. Rune backed Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$289.53
French Open: Tiafoe vs. Altmaierbacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32,633Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$17,571.4
French Open: Rybakina vs. Swiatekbacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.08
French Open: Paolini vs. Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$8,973Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+299.7%+$26,896.95
French Open: Popyrin vs. Paulbacked Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13,662Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13,662
French Open: Fearnley vs. Humbertbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$28,399.79
French Open: Zverev vs. De Jongbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10,270Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$2,730
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$7,368Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$4,710.65
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,484Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,483.74
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$528.33
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$40,000
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21,173Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$13,536.75
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23,603Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$23,603.21
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$56,722Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+30.9%+$17,543.14
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31,764Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$24,957.71
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$7,769Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,769.25
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked T-Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15,837Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$21,870.31
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16,596Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$16,595.82
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17,776Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$17,775.89
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$55,234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$55,233.65
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$26,000
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$63,881Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+164.1%+$104,830.47
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$30,600
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29,958Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$29,957.96
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31,515Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$31,515.34
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$18,900
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13,972Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+44.8%+$6,261.05
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,000
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2025, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-61.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win the 2025 UEFA Conference League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25,671Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$11,001.86
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10,643Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,643
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11,419.57
Will Tottenham vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,580
Will Manchester City vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$23,003.35
Will Brighton vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24,956Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$24,955.94
Will Arsenal vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15,000
Will Liverpool vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25,066Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$64,455.99
Will Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10,755Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,755.1
Will Manchester United vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,000
Will Newcastle vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,000
Will Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$19,999.67
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,000
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – To Lift Trophy backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,938Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,937.56
Will PSG vs. Real Madrid end in a draw after regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,072Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,072.33
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40,553Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$40,552.66
Will Chelsea beat Fluminense in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+60.4%+$301.51
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Chelsea (To Advance) backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44,815Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$15,745.95
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Inter end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15,389Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$15,388.57
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23,970Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$23,970.28
Will Inter vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33,311Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+272.8%+$90,862
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+54.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$32,250
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$14,769.6
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$4,799.98
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29,284Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+107.5%+$31,471.6
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20,213Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+45%+$9,099.56
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25,092Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+140.1%+$35,166.34
All 6 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pirates vs. Padresbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10,087Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,087
Mets vs. Red Soxbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$71,203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$71,203.35
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.