TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

French Open: Sabalenka vs. Gauff

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gauff of Sabalenka, Gauff
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$778,433
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$734,780

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $778,433 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x11fc…dc48backed Gauff 33c149,393$49,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99,400.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+79.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e11…9bacbacked Sabalenka66c75,758$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,000.033050%15 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Sabalenka68c67,161$45,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,919.4111230.4%34 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Sabalenka41c46,160$18,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,892.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Sabalenka29c45,100$12,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,955.4639144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1569…4e0cbacked Gauff 75c38,052$28,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,596.71666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Gauff 32c34,817$11,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,704.6716242%68 W · 94 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5095…c97cbacked Gauff 31c27,479$8,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,085.64040%16 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Sabalenka67c26,388$17,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,768.843458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x838c…5c82backed Sabalenka70c26,211$18,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,417.28944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f02…b943backed Gauff 24c20,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,199.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Gauff 19c16,690$3,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,593.919826.5%26 W · 72 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Gauff 31c11,990$3,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,233.121,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Gauff 33c9,356$3,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,268.523935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sabalenka54c8,838$4,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,807.846,68536.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L-96.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Sabalenka68c7,320$4,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,977.562742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Sabalenka19c7,195$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.74548.9%22 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Sabalenka35c7,144$2,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,486.0428043.2%121 W · 159 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Sabalenka27c6,611$1,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,816.8814345.5%65 W · 78 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Gauff 32c5,881$1,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,999.45545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Sabalenka14c5,863$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.639130.8%28 W · 63 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Gauff 40c5,459$2,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,275.851533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Sabalenka66c5,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30017145%77 W · 94 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Gauff 32c5,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,40012231.1%38 W · 84 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Gauff 33c5,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,349.999137.4%34 W · 57 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6f…482cbacked Sabalenka67c4,655$3,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,118.852751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Sabalenka29c4,303$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.6613844.2%61 W · 77 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60d…57bfbacked Sabalenka30c3,568$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.842516%4 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-74.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Gauff 79c3,111$2,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66628042.9%120 W · 160 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf22e…f52cbacked Sabalenka68c3,104$2,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,110.995525.5%14 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Sabalenka23c3,033$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.988231.7%26 W · 56 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Gauff 34c3,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9804744.7%21 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Gauff 33c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.9722021.8%48 W · 172 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Sabalenka67c3,000$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.989652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Sabalenka64c2,959$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,882.0781938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa924…9c72backed Sabalenka70c2,839$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002737%10 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6178…f9a9backed Gauff 78c2,709$2,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a9…2eb5backed Sabalenka18c2,500$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Sabalenka68c2,300$1,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5645545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99a6…aac8backed Gauff 32c2,160$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.314233.3%14 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Gauff 24c2,119$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,620.2822344.8%100 W · 123 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Sabalenka53c2,118$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.523655.6%20 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d18…b702backed Sabalenka68c2,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Sabalenka67c2,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.991735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked Gauff 41c1,961$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.591855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e7a…6f28backed Sabalenka69c1,917$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3232737%10 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ea…22ecbacked Sabalenka69c1,882$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.25633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-54.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ef0…f7e0backed Gauff 27c1,772$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Gauff 31c1,668$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.113933.3%13 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Gauff 76c1,600$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.846254.8%34 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Sabalenka68c1,412$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.216835.3%24 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Sabalenka57c1,409$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80811859.3%70 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Sabalenka52c1,400$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.99520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-69.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Gauff 32c1,263$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.336338.1%24 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Sabalenka28c1,219$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.527028.6%20 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Sabalenka67c1,170$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.5594940.1%381 W · 568 L+30.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sabalenka67c1,169$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.851,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83c8…5d9ebacked Sabalenka47c1,066$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc48…6dcdbacked Sabalenka69c1,001$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.172653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Gauff 33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6708348.2%40 W · 43 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3ce5…4314backed Gauff 34c1,000$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6601100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Sabalenka69c999.99$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6901,44448.8%705 W · 739 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Sabalenka67c999.95$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.9773147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ca1…13b5backed Gauff 30c999.12$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.97933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Gauff 34c963.1$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.2995935.5%340 W · 619 L-40.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb2c…c1f5backed Gauff 54c910.76$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.95666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x331a…d80ebacked Gauff 32c880.28$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.611838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Gauff 33c808.99$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.432035%7 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7d…7e36backed Sabalenka68c804.94$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.361450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c80…a608backed Gauff 18c799.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.992927.6%8 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad36…b860backed Sabalenka66c765$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e19…95dabacked Sabalenka12c750$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-38.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Sabalenka29c716.98$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.8210046%46 W · 54 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Gauff 32c673.55$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.013100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+148.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Sabalenka66c665.15$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.153158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ef0…657ebacked Gauff 32c651.59$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.081127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-46.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Sabalenka19c649.1$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.121421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-63.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Gauff 26c615.2$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.122119%4 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-46.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe23…3038backed Sabalenka68c601.47$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Sabalenka70c600$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42017867.4%120 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Gauff 33c600$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4024459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x944a…a9adbacked Gauff 34c582.77$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.77540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82ee…d8e2backed Gauff 35c571.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.431241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbaa…cbeabacked Gauff 54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.56771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x92fd…c48ebacked Sabalenka69c554.35$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31c8…c481backed Sabalenka68c513.09$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.92157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+36.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13e4…5883backed Sabalenka9c510$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.71118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+53.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76fc…e0bdbacked Sabalenka48c502.73$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.234030%12 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Gauff 33c500$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3358256.1%46 W · 36 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Gauff 30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3503732.4%12 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7268…0bc4backed Sabalenka2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Sabalenka69c499.99$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.9922737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Sabalenka64c476.89$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3042445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf763…414fbacked Gauff 50c475.78$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe560…11f0backed Gauff 33c449.21$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.971338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa9a…099fbacked Gauff 33c448.88$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.034427.3%12 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f9f…59f3backed Sabalenka68c439.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002360.9%14 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x088c…3f3ebacked Sabalenka52c418.72$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.623262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8f2…d296backed Gauff 20c412.45$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Sabalenka68c404.88$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.323531.4%11 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.