TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f9f…59f3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 49 out of 100 (-0.01 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category NHL at 49 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2025, EDT3256.3%18 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rays vs. Royalsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$270.68
Red Sox vs. Angelsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$360
Diamondbacks vs. White Soxbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.8
Red Sox vs. Angelsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Nationals vs. Padresbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$335.16
Athletics vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$175.68
Diamondbacks vs. White Soxbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$443.4
Pirates vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Rangers vs. Piratesbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$300.61
Tigers vs. Raysbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$71.89
Orioles vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$333.31
Nationals vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.93
Orioles vs. Yankeesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.05
Rangers vs. Piratesbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$9.6
Mariners vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.68
Angels vs. Yankeesbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$114.17
Phillies vs. Marlinsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,012.13
Pirates vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+52.9%+$158.67
Padres vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
White Sox vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+47.7%+$158.32
Twins vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$203.08
Blue Jays vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$104.19
White Sox vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+37%+$110.96
Marlins vs. Nationalsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$652Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+43%+$280.29
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2025, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Humbert vs. Brooksbybacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$636.26
Mallorca Championships: Griekspoor vs. Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Mallorca Championships: Tien vs. Moutet backed Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Fritz vs. Fonsecabacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$523Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$294.56
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Evans vs. Paulbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$340
Mallorca Championships: Moutet vs. Altmaierbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$265.12
Terra Wortmann: Medvedev vs. Bublik backed Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.09
HSBC Championships: Evans vs. Nakashimabacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+49.6%+$177.35
HSBC Championships: Bautista Agut vs. Mensikbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$715Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$715.35
Terra Wortmann: Bergs vs. Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+53.4%+$106.82
Terra Wortmann: Rublev vs. Ofner backed Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$206.06
Boss Open: Perricard vs. Auger-Aliassimebacked Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$236.27
Boss Open: Struff vs. Leheckabacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+51.1%+$204.45
Boss Open: Rinderknech vs. Fucsovicsbacked Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$213.75
French Open: Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+100%+$200
French Open: Sabalenka vs. Gauffbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
French Open: Zverev vs. Djokovicbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$502.78
French Open: Andreeva vs. Boissonbacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
French Open: Musetti vs. Tiafoebacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+25%+$100
French Open: Svitolina vs. Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+29.7%+$130.89
French Open: Sabalenka vs. Qinwenbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+37%+$110.96
French Open: Tiafoe vs. Altmaierbacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+46.4%+$204.29
French Open: Popyrin vs. Paulbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$70.48
All 23 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fever vs Acesbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.27
Liberty vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Fever vs Dreambacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+48.2%+$77.19
Fever vs Skybacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$128.43
Dream vs Sunbacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Mystics vs Feverbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Aces vs Stormbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$208.47
All 7 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$99
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$349.06
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$245.16
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$226.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina beat Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$460
Will Poland beat Finland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.