TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Pirates vs. Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tigersof Pirates, Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$223,092
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$241,222

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,092 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x15e0…8d86backed Pirates34c69,265$23,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,728.3811153.2%59 W · 52 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Tigers66c48,000$31,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,32044456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked Tigers64c47,507$30,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,123.246258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Pirates36c40,448$14,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,581.935854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed Tigers61c24,784$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,783.64461.4%27 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Tigers65c12,926$8,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,517.4460249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d3d…35d0backed Tigers69c10,624$7,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,242.851369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf103…abebbacked Tigers65c9,996$6,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,498.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff8f…03e9backed Pirates35c9,451$3,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,307.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates38c6,722$2,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,587.862,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Pirates41c6,659$2,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,756.5486751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked Pirates34c4,404$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.5221740.1%87 W · 130 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Tigers65c4,104$2,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.621,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Tigers63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74041643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Tigers65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.9931346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Tigers63c1,751$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.2376456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Pirates35c1,555$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.2527953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Tigers64c1,406$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.2525954.1%140 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Pirates36c1,375$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.8954941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Pirates8c1,350$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10966645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe768…9d43backed Pirates29c1,300$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.9219650.5%99 W · 97 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Pirates35c1,167$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.4797950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Pirates2c1,125$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2546631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Tigers65c1,089$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.091,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Pirates38c1,053$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf031…89b5backed Pirates29c1,011$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.177841%32 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Tigers64c1,000$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36571751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Tigers66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3401,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Pirates35c857.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23a8…7f02backed Pirates28c794.78$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.541241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8245…55a0backed Pirates35c700$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2452623.1%6 W · 20 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-49.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Tigers54c666.67$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.6725835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Tigers66c643.76$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.8817866.3%118 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf980…6528backed Pirates36c639.39$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.0511746.2%54 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers65c619.86$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.722,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Pirates34c556.02$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.055,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Pirates5c525$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.455053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Pirates39c505.1$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.51,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Tigers65c500.01$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17514050.7%71 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed Pirates2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025511.8%30 W · 225 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Tigers80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10040547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f9f…59f3backed Tigers65c458.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.673256.3%18 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Tigers66c424.24$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.2474356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Pirates34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13633852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Tigers77c322$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.493,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed Pirates26c320.13$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3520343.8%89 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Pirates34c306.79$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9985047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Pirates15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4522312.1%27 W · 196 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Tigers64c299.98$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9913555.6%75 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers63c299.9$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9651151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Pirates35c297.14$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10419449%95 W · 99 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates32c279.54$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.041,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Pirates37c270.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Pirates11c263$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.696133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Pirates35c259.74$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9117239.5%68 W · 104 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pirates38c251.09$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.429,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Pirates42c188$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8165549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Tigers54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1913450%67 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Tigers64c179.33$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5649450%247 W · 247 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5001…49c3backed Tigers64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251030%3 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick58cpaid-50.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.522,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.522,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8b0…4b04backed Tigers66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.52450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Tigers66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.492754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x605a…c6debacked Tigers61c150$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.812267.2%82 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Tigers65c134.14$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9555053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Pirates45c133.37$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.741,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1755…4b3ebacked Pirates53c131.26$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.572138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9839…040ebacked Pirates35c115$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2514146.8%66 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f19…72d9backed Pirates34c110$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.441649%204 W · 212 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Tigers51c101.96$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9638743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f18…77c9backed Tigers66c100.91$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.318434.5%29 W · 55 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Pirates35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Pirates34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Tigers66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3420954.5%114 W · 95 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb5a4…7602backed Tigers66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344856.3%27 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a7f…4cd8backed Tigers63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374938.8%19 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc8d4…f320backed Tigers66c97.11$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.023161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Tigers73c95.04$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.744,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Tigers63c92$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.042,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Tigers66c91.15$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9916055.6%89 W · 71 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Pirates36c90$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.41,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Pirates35c75.63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.61,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Pirates49c75$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.516,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Tigers65c65.71$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2379740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Pirates35c61.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6219742.6%84 W · 113 L-13.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd18…a458backed Tigers66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.611553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ea…e15cbacked Pirates36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022351.6%115 W · 108 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec89…3286backed Tigers66c54.55$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5514257%81 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ef2…b798backed Pirates34c53.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.293727%10 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Pirates38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc811…a5b9backed Pirates21c52.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118439.3%33 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Pirates35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.540352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6961…66a7backed Tigers66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174139%16 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5547…ca51backed Pirates36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Pirates34c48.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6643542.1%183 W · 252 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Pirates34c46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6450843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Tigers66c44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.961,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Pirates33c41.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.844443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cc5…552fbacked Pirates35c40.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.141442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.