TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6961…66a7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2025, EDT4139%16 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockies vs. Diamondbacksbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Nationals vs. Brewersbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$23.38
Cubs vs. Yankeesbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Marlins vs. Redsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Guardians vs. Astrosbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Rockies vs. Red Soxbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Pirates vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$13.73
White Sox vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$17.5
Guardians vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$16.22
Brewers vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$15.64
Astros vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$22.14
White Sox vs. Dodgersbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.3
Angels vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Marlins vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Giants vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Phillies vs. Astrosbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Athletics vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.5
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Rockies vs. Nationalsbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$37.41
Mets vs. Bravesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Padres vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$21.43
Rockies vs. Nationalsbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$32
Pirates vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$17
White Sox vs. Astrosbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.5
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST2744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.2
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+150%+$30
Thunder vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$66
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$44.33
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$39.17
Kings vs. Rocketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+177.8%+$26.67
Nets vs. Pistonsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Wizards vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+163.2%+$27.74
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$24.5
Hornets vs. Mavericksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Nuggets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+122.2%+$48.89
Hornets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+38.9%+$11.67
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21.72
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$87
Pistons vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$99
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2025, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.5
Canucks vs. Devilsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$40.05
Canucks vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+138.1%+$19.33
Sabres vs. Hurricanesbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Predators vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+177.8%+$45.33
Senators vs. Penguinsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+92.3%+$23.08
Sharks vs. Utahbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$19.2
Predators vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST+61.3%+$18.69
Flyers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Flyers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$66
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$15.95
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-46.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+98.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+25%+$12.5
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+426.4%+$98.07
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Ravens vs. Texansbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+40.8%+$29
All 4 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington State vs. North Texasbacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
Georgia Tech vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+127.3%+$56
South Florida vs. San José Statebacked San José State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$30.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angers SCO vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.