College Football · resolved market
Washington State vs. North Texas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9fba0042f7f793fb896167ac96457637f616d243de5b2086324510300fc33a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Texasof Washington State, North Texas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked North Texas | 69c | 66,424$45,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,854.13 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Washington State | 31c | 57,918$17,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,952.79 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed North Texas | 68c | 11,119$7,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,558.21 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Washington State | 32c | 8,174$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked North Texas | 69c | 2,577$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.94 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Washington State | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Washington State | 34c | 2,300$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.97 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Washington State | 36c | 1,879$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.26 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Washington State | 12c | 1,717$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.78 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Washington State | 37c | 1,676$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.94 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Washington State | 34c | 1,524$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Washington State | 32c | 1,462$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.74 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Washington State | 37c | 1,230$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.56 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Washington State | 31c | 930$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.3 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked North Texas | 64c | 701.58$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.73 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Washington State | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Washington State | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed North Texas | 71c | 546.59$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.25 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed North Texas | 66c | 535.48$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.06 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Washington State | 12c | 451.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed North Texas | 61c | 429$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.31 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…7d00backed Washington State | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed North Texas | 65c | 284.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Washington State | 12c | 266.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Washington State | 34c | 208.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Washington State | 31c | 186.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Washington State | 18c | 173.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc0…4ce8backed Washington State | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed North Texas | 66c | 143.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Washington State | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Washington State | 32c | 140$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc92…7505backed Washington State | 27c | 128.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…d029backed Washington State | 36c | 122.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77cd…5a13backed Washington State | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Washington State | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Washington State | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Washington State | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Washington State | 12c | 89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc6…c3e4backed Washington State | 33c | 85.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed North Texas | 66c | 79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…b273backed Washington State | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d9…c641backed North Texas | 67c | 73.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc0…1f16backed Washington State | 34c | 72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked North Texas | 63c | 64.48$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…261bbacked North Texas | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8272…541dbacked Washington State | 29c | 51.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Washington State | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed North Texas | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…b678backed Washington State | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Washington State | 33c | 43.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba7…b5e4backed Washington State | 35c | 42.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked North Texas | 70c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 32 | 87.5%28 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 72cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba54…6c72backed Washington State | 35c | 37.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…94d4backed North Texas | 67c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb734…502cbacked North Texas | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6961…66a7backed Washington State | 32c | 35.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fd…e721backed Washington State | 35c | 32.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c57…b876backed Washington State | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…bfdfbacked North Texas | 71c | 30.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef48…9bc9backed Washington State | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9c…00edbacked North Texas | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…7f88backed North Texas | 68c | 23.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7390…9fb2backed North Texas | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f9…a4a6backed North Texas | 67c | 18.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…9e05backed North Texas | 67c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddd…d6f1backed North Texas | 67c | 16.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 57cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf29c…7270backed North Texas | 67c | 16.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…a285backed North Texas | 67c | 16.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd98…104cbacked North Texas | 67c | 16.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 57cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked North Texas | 71c | 14.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.