TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1242…8dfe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
430
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: College Football, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 60 out of 100; worst Movies at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT8073.8%59 W · 21 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 National League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$3.78
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 National League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+25.6%+$5.5
Yankees vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.75
Phillies vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+33.7%+$10.53
Angels vs. Rockiesbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$7.75
Yankees vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.79
Blue Jays vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$7.44
Cubs vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$7.04
Athletics vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+25%+$6
Braves vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.78
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.96
Phillies vs. Diamondbacksbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$9.24
Marlins vs. Rangersbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$34.22
Angels vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+101.1%+$250.87
Guardians vs. Twinsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$9.24
Red Sox vs. Raysbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$19.36
Blue Jays vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$29.16
Padres vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$84.42
Cubs vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+103.1%+$108.97
Braves vs. Tigersbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$28.05
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$22.4
Cubs vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$20.9
Marlins vs. Rockiesbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$14.04
Padres vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$12.58
Athletics vs. Red Soxbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT4136.6%15 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.24
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.74
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.67
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+197.8%+$20.59
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.27
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+222.6%+$33.12
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+212.5%+$22.44
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+218.8%+$59.89
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28.92
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+233.3%+$24.5
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30.12
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.05
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.55
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.52
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$14.96
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$24.49
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20.02
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT3287.5%28 W · 4 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick72cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
College Football — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fresno State vs. Hawai'ibacked Hawai'i · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.76
Florida vs. Miamibacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$8.58
BYU vs. East Carolinabacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$8
Arizona State vs. Baylorbacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$9.57
South Carolina vs. Missouribacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
Auburn vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$8.96
James Madison vs. Libertybacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$8.25
North Carolina vs. UCFbacked UCF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$10.85
Michigan vs. Nebraskabacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$7.68
Syracuse vs. Clemsonbacked Syracuse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$9.9
Texas Tech vs. Utahbacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$10.54
SMU vs. TCUbacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$7.68
North Texas vs. Armybacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+27.3%+$7.63
Maryland vs. Wisconsinbacked Maryland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$9.24
UNLV vs. Miami (OH)backed Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.24
Arkansas vs. Memphisbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.36
Appalachian State vs. Southern Mississippibacked Southern Mississippi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Boston College vs. Stanfordbacked Stanford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$6.3
Air Force vs. Utah Statebacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Texas A&M vs. Notre Damebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.59
Florida vs. LSUbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$6.51
Vanderbilt vs. South Carolinabacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+43.9%+$12.81
Jacksonville State vs. Georgia Southernbacked Georgia Southern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$6.6
Arkansas vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$12.6
Liberty vs. Bowling Greenbacked Bowling Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$11.2
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.75
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.35
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.39
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.24
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+61.3%+$8.02
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+62.7%+$26.42
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+81.5%+$29.63
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.8%+$28.65
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.25
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+33.3%+$8.25
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+33.3%+$8.25
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+69.5%+$20.5
Will Naomi Osaka be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+53.8%+$21.35
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$39.6
Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+66.7%+$26.4
Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$18.39
Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+170.5%+$33.41
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.19
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$38.65
Will OpenAI’s GPT 5 lose the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.61
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.47
Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.93
Grokipedia released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+65.5%+$35.64
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.78
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST2458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+185.2%+$22.73
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.82
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$25.6
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.16
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.3
Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.3
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+37%+$11.07
Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12.79
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+165%+$23.04
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+81.8%+$22.5
Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+41%+$23.28
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$19.11
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.89
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.95
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$18.24
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$6.8
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.04
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+88.1%+$37.09
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.6
US government shutdown in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$11.76
Will Trump say Biden 3+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+63.4%+$24.84
Birthright citizenship ban blocked in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$212.61
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$47.5
All 24 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2425%6 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.76
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.91
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+244.9%+$26.07
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+215.8%+$63.31
Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.95
Will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.31
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.63
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+213%+$23.14
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.42
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+232.7%+$47.56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$22.44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21.04
All 24 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BLG vs TESbacked BLG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$27.36
LoL: TES vs ALbacked AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.92
CS: paiN vs Virtus.probacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.95
LoL: DK vs BFXbacked DK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$10
CS: FaZe vs Liquidbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$19.2
CS: Astralis vs Legacybacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$9.75
CS: TYLOO vs Liquidbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.67
CS: Astralis vs paiNbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.72
LoL: FNC vs GXbacked FNC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$13.02
Valorant: RRQ vs FNCbacked FNC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$6.51
CS: 3DMAX vs GamerLegionbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+52.7%+$14.49
CS: Liquid vs HEROICbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
LoL: BLG vs TESbacked TES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.85
CS: TYLOO vs The MongolZbacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+38.1%+$11.42
CS: FURIA vs G2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.7
CS: HEROIC vs paiNbacked HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.8
CS: Virtus pro vs Astralisbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$6.09
FISSURE Playground 2: FURIA vs. Liquidbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$6
FISSURE Playground 2: FaZe vs. paiNbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$12.4
FISSURE Playground 2: HEROIC vs. Legacybacked HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Vitality win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
EWC Cs2: HEROIC vs. Aurorabacked HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.55
All 22 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$26.27
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.54
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+72.4%+$13.44
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+47.1%+$14.08
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$28.32
Will Catherine Connolly win by 20% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+78.9%+$21.75
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.98
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.1
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$16.07
Elections go right: Octoberbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$24.01
Will turnout be between 63% and 66% in the Czech election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$19.11
New US sanctions on Brazilian Supreme Court Justices by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$39.76
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.88
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$22.62
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+155.2%+$30.41
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.12
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$12.6
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.53
Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+78.7%+$15.41
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+63.9%+$18.72
Will Russia capture Shakhove by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+42.2%+$9.79
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+65.3%+$20.55
Nothing Ever Happens: Russian Capture Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+54.7%+$25.1
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+91.9%+$58.37
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.36
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.95
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+300%+$45
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30.62
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$22.73
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+334.8%+$35.42
Will Elon Musk post 130-139 tweets from January 1 to January 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.06
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$17.93
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$17.9
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+54.1%+$17.9
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.89
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$23.32
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$19
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+39.1%+$11.8
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Giantsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$8.58
Jets vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+41%+$6.44
Bengals vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$10
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$6.93
Buccaneers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.86
Eagles vs. Chiefsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Giants vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$6.3
Bears vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$6.51
Rams vs. Titansbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$13.02
Patriots vs. Dolphinsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$11.2
49ers vs. Saintsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$6.09
Chiefs vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+48%+$123.44
Bears vs. Chiefs: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Patriots vs. Giants backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.9
Steelers vs. Panthers backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.11
All 15 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick24cpaid-76.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Movies — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.23
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+245.8%+$51.18
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" score at least 73 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.44
Will "Hoppers" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 29m and 32m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
Will Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.36
All 15 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will XRP reach $1.50 March 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.91
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.4
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+47.2%+$11.55
Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Bitcoin dip to $114,000 September 15-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+38.2%+$16.33
Will Ethereum dip to $4,200 September 15-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 September 15-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.88
Will Solana reach $250 September 8–14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.6
Will Bitcoin reach $117K September 8–14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+41.7%+$17.65
Will Ethereum reach $4800 September 8–14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$6.72
Will Ethereum reach $4700 September 8–14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+196.4%+$38.43
Will Solana reach $210 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+223.2%+$66.3
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+64.9%+$29.91
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$35.91
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+86.4%+$23.81
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+100%+$20.5
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.7
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$19.78
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+88.7%+$8.93
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.4
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.28
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.47
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$19
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-51.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ostrava Open: Tatjana Maria vs Katie Volynetsbacked Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.39
Ostrava Open: Lucie Havlickova vs Katie Boulterbacked Havlickova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.26
Ostrava Open: Rebecca Sramkova vs Vendula Valdmannovabacked Valdmannova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$219
Krueger vs. Bejlek: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.17
Hangzhou Open: Yibing Wu vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$10.89
Chengdu Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$7.68
Hangzhou Open: Valentin Royer vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.18
Chengdu Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Alejandro Tabilobacked O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.09
Chengdu Open: Mackenzie McDonald vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$8
Hangzhou Open: Arthur Cazaux vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+64.4%+$25.06
Hangzhou Open: Adam Walton vs Sebastian Kordabacked Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.81
US Open: Leandro Riedi vs. Garrett Johnsbacked Johns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.84
All 12 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick63cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Earnings — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+233.3%+$24.5
Will La-Z-Boy (LZB) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+54.5%+$14.94
Will Bitcoin Depot (BTM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+63.9%+$18.72
Will Strategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.7
Will Ares Capital (ARCC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$39.3
Will UnitedHealth Group (UNH) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.6
Will Procter & Gamble (PG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$20.4
Will CME Group (CME) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+30%+$42.76
Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$13.86
Will Halliburton (HAL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$17.48
Will Jefferies (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$39.16
All 11 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+43.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. Xtreme Gamingbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.24
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs. Heroicbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$6.3
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs. Nigma Galaxybacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+64.3%+$11.74
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+212.5%+$31.28
Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+212.5%+$31.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+93.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+37%+$9.18
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+150%+$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Sep 11, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: EDward Gaming vs. JD Gamingbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+44.2%+$12.88
League of Legends: Dplus KIA vs. DRXbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Magic vs. Thunderbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$207.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Euro Basket: Turkey vs Greecebacked Turkey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$6.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$8.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. North Carolina Central Eaglesbacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Sterlingbacked Ortega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Sep 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Canelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$24.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.