MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1fad2d8c73269495aa9bb4f8b4090299b7a8ae8d72365e7d52f6569f4a78233
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Marlins, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,770,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,806,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,770,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rangers | 59c | 1,300,318$760,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760,992.21 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 41c | 492,666$203,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289,222.98 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Marlins | 42c | 260,000$109,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150,800 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 41c | 179,726$74,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105,664.1 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Marlins | 42c | 112,500$47,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,250 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Marlins | 41c | 83,550$34,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,939 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers | 55c | 32,681$17,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,969.25 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Rangers | 55c | 28,309$15,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,473.02 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Marlins | 41c | 24,000$9,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,070 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Rangers | 59c | 23,790$14,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,135.01 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Marlins | 43c | 23,684$10,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,499.88 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 41c | 18,328$7,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,799.47 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 41c | 17,950$7,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,535.5 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Rangers | 56c | 15,101$8,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,456.35 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Marlins | 42c | 13,888$5,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,055.04 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Marlins | 45c | 9,792$4,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,354.52 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Marlins | 44c | 9,550$4,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,377.82 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Rangers | 53c | 7,481$3,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,946.05 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 45c | 7,364$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,030.98 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Marlins | 41c | 6,972$2,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,113.73 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Rangers | 59c | 6,947$4,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,098.73 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…cd2bbacked Marlins | 79c | 6,750$5,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.01 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Marlins | 52c | 6,230$3,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,969.03 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Marlins | 41c | 6,134$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,619.32 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Rangers | 59c | 6,056$3,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,565.24 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Marlins | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Marlins | 42c | 5,355$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105.9 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Marlins | 41c | 5,219$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,056.36 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Rangers | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Marlins | 45c | 4,591$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.86 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Marlins | 58c | 4,431$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.56 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 42c | 4,248$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.62 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Marlins | 46c | 3,716$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.26 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 79c | 3,687$2,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.51 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…3607backed Rangers | 58c | 3,418$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.49 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Rangers | 60c | 3,400$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Rangers | 67c | 2,995$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Marlins | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.76 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rangers | 33c | 2,462$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.56 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46c6…a48ebacked Marlins | 22c | 2,278$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.96 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Rangers | 58c | 2,169$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.24 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…b883backed Rangers | 54c | 2,103$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marlins | 43c | 1,965$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.68 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Marlins | 40c | 1,902$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.2 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Marlins | 41c | 1,600$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Marlins | 42c | 1,536$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.03 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…5c7dbacked Marlins | 41c | 1,416$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.42 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Rangers | 76c | 1,228$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.94 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Marlins | 41c | 1,024$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.16 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Marlins | 40c | 1,000$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.44 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Marlins | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Rangers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Rangers | 58c | 946.82$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.16 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Marlins | 39c | 908.6$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.25 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marlins | 51c | 855.92$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.33 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Marlins | 42c | 833.33$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.33 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rangers | 60c | 833$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Rangers | 12c | 798.97$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.89 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Rangers | 4c | 766.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Marlins | 49c | 750$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Marlins | 43c | 709.3$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.3 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Marlins | 41c | 699.97$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.98 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Rangers | 58c | 684.56$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Marlins | 44c | 683.05$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.34 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 39c | 659.4$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.35 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 41c | 652.42$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.41 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Marlins | 47c | 628.56$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.64 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Rangers | 56c | 628.43$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.92 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Marlins | 62c | 589.94$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.12 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Rangers | 58c | 529.28$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.98 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Marlins | 40c | 512.82$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.84 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Marlins | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc913…e51cbacked Marlins | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Marlins | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Marlins | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Marlins | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…b86ebacked Marlins | 72c | 448.99$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.09 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Rangers | 69c | 443.35$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Rangers | 58c | 429.41$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Rangers | 42c | 391.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.12 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Marlins | 42c | 368$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.44 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…8490backed Rangers | 62c | 346.55$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.82 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Rangers | 19c | 346.2$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Rangers | 59c | 338.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rangers | 58c | 325$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.5 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Rangers | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Marlins | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Marlins | 79c | 300$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 150 | 80%120 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Rangers | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Marlins | 37c | 297.18$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.17 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Marlins | 34c | 297.16$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.4 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Rangers | 61c | 295.08$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Marlins | 41c | 251.22$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.22 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Rangers | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Marlins | 42c | 240.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Marlins | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 623 | 46.2%288 W · 335 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b0…c617backed Marlins | 43c | 220.79$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rangers | 58c | 219.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.19 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Rangers | 58c | 215.52$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,302 | 56.7%738 W · 564 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Rangers | 58c | 201.37$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marlins vs. Rangersthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.