TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2d0f…4faa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
900
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT30255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 302 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$449.56
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$6,704Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,704.48
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$6,207Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,207.47
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.71
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31,703Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+117%+$37,105.93
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.32
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10,232Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,231.61
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$43,721Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$43,720.69
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$643Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$642.6
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11,944Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$15,832.89
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$717Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$1,169.2
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26,578Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$24,533.77
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$9,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,333.24
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$9,276Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,276.49
Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,980Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$2,519.47
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$11,107
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12,198Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,197.68
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$23,030.76
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,517Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,516.54
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+203%+$100.5
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$347.8
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,970Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$2,530
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13,492Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$22,973.58
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$26,997.71
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$7,625Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,624.53
Showing 25 of 302 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT15539.4%61 W · 94 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 155 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Alabama vs. Georgia Statebacked Georgia State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28,731Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$28,730.7
Missouri State vs. New Mexico Statebacked Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41,049Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+82%+$33,662.74
Middle Tennessee vs. Delaware Blue Hensbacked Middle Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$3,353Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,352.97
Western Kentucky vs. Louisiana Techbacked Louisiana Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19,224Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$19,224.24
Spread: Louisiana Tech (-3.5)backed Western Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$8,600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$11,400
Kennesaw State vs. Florida Internationalbacked Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$481.62
Texas vs. Kentuckybacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$4,505Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,504.83
Maryland Terrapins vs. UCLAbacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36,645Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+65.1%+$23,845.36
Penn State vs. Iowabacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,793Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$2,746.43
Southern Miss vs. Louisianabacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28,933Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$17,733.08
Texas A&M vs. Arkansasbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$14,999.85
Akron vs. Ball Statebacked Akron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$76,188Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$76,187.69
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$64,329Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+252%+$162,119.33
Mississippi State vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,010.25
UTSA Roadrunners vs. North Texasbacked UTSA Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.12
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23,509Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$23,509.42
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Appalachian Statebacked Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$37,344Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$37,343.76
Northern Illinois vs. Ohiobacked Northern Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24,078Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$24,077.6
Buffalo vs. UMassbacked UMass · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$4,944Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,943.68
Troy vs. UL Monroebacked Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,488Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$1,962
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Northwesternbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,512Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,511.7
Baylor vs. TCUbacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$5,064Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,064.14
Oklahoma vs. South Carolinabacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$25,799.75
Georgia Tech vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$8,226Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,225.57
Washington vs. Michiganbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10,707Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+61.2%+$6,550.91
Showing 25 of 155 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST14351%73 W · 70 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 143 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$482.44
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10,816Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,815.89
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$736Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$899.7
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$5,099Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,098.76
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15,161Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15,161.44
Giants vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$8,221Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+239.3%+$19,671.91
Packers vs. Cardinalsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32,375Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+46.8%+$15,158.88
Colts vs. Chargers: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,099Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,098.72
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.94
Raiders vs. Chiefsbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.95
Rams vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$6,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,639.62
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22,939Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$22,939.13
Spread: Steelers (-5.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,315Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+100%+$2,314.5
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,706Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+110%+$1,877.06
Bears vs. Commanders: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.95
Bears vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,988Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,988.07
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,397Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,397.39
Spread: Bills (-4.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$9,495Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,495.15
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$42,890Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+64.2%+$27,524.45
Lions vs. Chiefs: O/U 52.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$8,335Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,335.47
Lions vs. Chiefs: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12,758Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,757.52
49ers vs. Buccaneersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$44,397Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$44,396.71
Spread: Packers (-14.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$419.96
Titans vs. Raidersbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$674.81
Cardinals vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$109,857Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+29.1%+$31,931.1
Showing 25 of 143 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT4944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,425Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,424.83
Canucks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$796Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$735.03
Ducks vs. Bruinsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,760Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$6,240
Sharks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$6,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,599.78
Red Wings vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23,506Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+81.3%+$19,113.04
Blackhawks vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12,116Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,116.08
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$794Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$793.73
Wild vs. Devilsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,166Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,165.68
Avalanche vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$323.29
Oilers vs. Senatorsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12,031Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$10,248.68
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,674Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$2,131.18
Blue Jackets vs. Starsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,217Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$3,775
Panthers vs. Bruinsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,494Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$3,817.66
Canucks vs. Penguinsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,628Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,628.38
Jets vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$518.57
Kraken vs. Flyersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,992Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,991.67
Wild vs. Flyersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,485Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,484.93
Rangers vs. Canadiensbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20,444Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$23,999.76
Sharks vs. Utahbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$855Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$854.91
Lightning vs. Red Wingsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$7,209Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,208.51
Bruins vs. Golden Knightsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.61
Hurricanes vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$391.89
Canucks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31,614Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$31,613.77
Kraken vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15,077Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$10,477.55
Jets vs. Flyersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32,999Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$26,999.55
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT4045%18 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$622.25
Will Brighton win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$229.05
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$6,988Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,987.67
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$524.99
Will Tottenham vs. Wolves end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$7,800
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$7,920Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$10,080
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$76
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,778Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$5,333.28
Will Brentford win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,311Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,310.88
Will Fulham win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,888Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,888.4
Will Wolves win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$6,044Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$2,844.16
Will West Ham win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,309Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$1,486.68
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,489Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,488.64
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,460Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$2,230.09
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$16,221.84
Will Manchester City vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.04
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$612Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$612.19
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,539Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,539.47
Will West Ham win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$7,889Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$3,222.19
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$6,150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$8,850
Will Fulham win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,505Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,505
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,444Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,444.42
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15,389Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15,388.8
Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11,606Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11,606.24
Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17,900Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+81.6%+$14,599.94
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT3348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14,218Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+53.1%+$7,555.48
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$9,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,680
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,487Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$578.27
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16,191Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$16,190.52
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10,588Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$39,831.03
Pelicans vs. Grizzliesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30,563Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$30,563.31
Wizards vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28,080Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$7,920
Nets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34,300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$20,144.28
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26,905Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$31,584.05
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$5,634Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,633.9
Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,337Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,337
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$7,837Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,837.27
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27,094Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$27,093.52
Kings vs. Lakersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$1,315.13
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,620.19
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+191.3%+$109.01
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20,131Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+63.5%+$12,785.02
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,469Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,468.63
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked PHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$256.41
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$627Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$626.9
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$9,966Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$15,588.53
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,332.65
Hornets vs. Mavericksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$88.04
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,090Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+81.7%+$890.87
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT3141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portland Timbers win on 2025-10-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11,473Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11,473
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$760
Will Orlando City SC win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+88.3%+$290.91
Will Nashville SC win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$348.94
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$389.68
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$787Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$787.2
Will Austin FC win on 2025-10-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,279Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,279.34
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$26.38
Will FC Dallas win on 2025-10-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$16
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2025-10-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,709.87
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$234.44
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-10-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.06
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$248.01
Will Inter Miami CF vs. New England Revolution end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.95
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2025-10-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,123Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,122.81
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-10-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$482.53
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.3
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$174.34
Will Austin FC win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$13.76
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,460Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$5,040
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$100
Will New York City FC win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,761Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,761.14
Will CF Montréal win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$193.68
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,598Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,598.22
Will Toronto FC win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.33
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT2729.6%8 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$4,251Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,250.68
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$8,481Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+120.6%+$10,232.4
Will Sevilla win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$978Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$5,543.26
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$9,567Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$18,571.91
Will Alaves win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$6,631Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,631.25
Will Girona win on 2025-09-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$225
Will Girona vs. Espanyol end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$5,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,299.89
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,600
Will Sevilla win on 2025-09-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$6
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$8,493Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$2,395.36
Will Elche CF win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,409.63
Will Valencia win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$100
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$216.57
Will Osasuna win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,502Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,501.61
Will Villarreal vs. Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.58
Will Alaves win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.97
Will Sevilla win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$162.78
Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.72
Will Real Betis win on 2025-09-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-09-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,293Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,293.2
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,133Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,133.28
Will Getafe win on 2025-08-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.34
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,125
Will Real Oviedo vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.05
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2025, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico win on 2025-10-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$701Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$528.66
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,035.2
Will Türkiye win on 2025-10-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,168Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,168.06
Will Hungary win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.16
Will Latvia win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$666Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$666.48
Will Netherlands win on 2025-10-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$252.31
Will Cyprus win on 2025-10-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$315.33
Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.38
Will Serbia vs. Albania end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$60
Will Albania win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,880Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+426.8%+$12,289.42
Will Portugal vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.14
Will Türkiye win on 2025-10-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$733Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$732.67
Will Spain win on 2025-10-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.46
Will Spain vs. Georgia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$632Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$631.78
Will Bulgaria vs. Türkiye end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,968Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,967.73
Will United States vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,161Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,160.74
Will Ecuador win on 2025-10-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$273.47
Will Argentina win on 2025-10-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.5
Will Australia win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$114.02
Will Canada win on 2025-10-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$346.34
Will Maldives win on 2025-09-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,034Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$532.65
Will Sri Lanka win on 2025-09-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$11.6
Will Australia win on 2025-09-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$645Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$645.03
All 23 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs. Mercurybacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,840Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$1,567.43
Aces vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$52,810Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$52,809.9
Aces vs. Feverbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,758Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,757.58
Fever vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$444.12
Storm vs. Acesbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,962Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,962.06
Mercury vs. Libertybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$840.32
Aces vs. Stormbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+203%+$100.5
Dream vs. Feverbacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,428Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,428.03
Storm vs. Acesbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$729Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$729.33
Aces vs. Sparksbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,455Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+25%+$363.69
Valkyries vs. Lynxbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,350
Lynx vs. Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.37
Liberty vs. Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$352.35
Fever vs. Mercurybacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.04
Fever vs. Sparksbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,957Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+133.1%+$2,605.12
Fever vs. Lynxbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$778Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$778.26
Valkyries vs. Wingsbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$2,400
Wings vs Acesbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.54
Fever vs Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.13
All 19 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$889Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$888.7
Will Napoli vs. Genoa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,840
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$9,848Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,847.99
Will Bologna win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,694Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$4,897.18
Will Lecce win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,908Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,907.74
Will Inter vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$216.81
Will Como win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$7,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,333.26
Will AC Milan win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,200
Will Udinese vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.87
Will Verona vs. Juventus end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$348.89
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-09-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$5,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,333.12
Will Pisa SC win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,584Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,584
Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,380Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$620
Will AS Roma win on 2025-09-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,266Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$2,350.27
Will Parma win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.35
Will Juventus win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,875Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,874.99
All 16 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mix vs. Wiklaczbacked Mix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$25,020
Santos vs. Yoobacked Yoo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$451.5
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyesbacked Ulberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29,768Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$14,008.32
UFC Fight Night: Crute vs. Erslanbacked Crute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11,911Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$5,866.41
UFC Fight Night: Jenkins vs. Taverasbacked Taveras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$3,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,154.62
UFC Fight Night: Matthews vs. Magnybacked Matthews · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,525Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,525.27
UFC Fight Night: Stirling vs. Bellatobacked Bellato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,806Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,806.2
UFC Fight Night: Rowston vs. Petroskibacked Rowston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$795Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$1,297.1
UFC Fight Night: Mullarkey vs. Bedoyabacked Mullarkey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16,325Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+87.2%+$14,230.3
UFC Fight Night: Thicknesse vs. Musasabacked Thicknesse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20,510Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+181.7%+$37,265.52
UFC Fight Night: Carolina vs. Montaguebacked Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,457Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,456.52
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22,033Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$9,443.47
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-39.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,600
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$604Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$603.67
Will Monaco win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,444Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,444.41
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11,500
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,805Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$1,949.49
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$700
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,625Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,624.99
Will Slavia Praha win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,243Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$5,457
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$8,735Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,735.43
Will Athletic Bilbao win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$3,049Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,049.25
Will FK Crvena Zvezda win on 2025-08-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,964Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+94.5%+$5,636
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-08-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,141Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$2,892.04
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,997Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,997.4
Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.23
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$300.66
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,598Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$6,396.16
Will Bayer Leverkusen vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$1,796.67
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+100%+$5,000
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-09-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,514Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,513.9
Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,595Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,594.97
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-09-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$109
Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.79
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,968Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,968.43
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+71.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+112.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+31.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22,877Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+98.6%+$22,552.55
Will the 2025 Ryder Cup end in a tie?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$3,973Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,972.81
Will USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42,810Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+94.9%+$40,617.36
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+94.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Göztepe SK vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,427Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$555
Will Göztepe SK win on 2025-09-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,143Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+150%+$1,714.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+68.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2025-10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$5,173Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+237.8%+$12,299.1
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-10-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+158.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$132,372Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+158.1%+$209,247.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.