TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-09-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$723,756
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$737,317

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $723,756 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2635…5408backed Yes56c439,212$244,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244,015.792626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.3wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-49.8%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked No45c243,460$109,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133,903.232853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No44c140,000$61,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,4009450%47 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes55c105,000$58,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,149.993050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No44c65,000$28,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,40028355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No44c59,938$26,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,387.4710357.3%59 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No47c55,000$25,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,149.8631947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes50c25,557$12,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,827.796,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked No44c18,000$7,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0804045%18 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes53c17,109$9,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,075.5817958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No44c13,497$5,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,558.447256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes53c11,303$5,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,990.7535758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No56c8,601$4,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,813.724454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes42c7,442$3,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,114.8827235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Yes56c7,143$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0009636.5%35 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes45c5,532$2,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,486.2432158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No44c5,052$2,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,829.1210849.1%53 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65079639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f4…55c1backed Yes25c4,332$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.11315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-36.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe605…f88dbacked Yes55c3,866$2,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,135.371020%2 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-70.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc478…d2e2backed No45c3,333$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.334348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed No46c3,200$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7439148.4%44 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65022744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No64c2,720$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.914,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No52c2,666$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.119749.5%48 W · 49 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No72c2,580$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.728736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No61c2,162$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.5351542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No44c2,084$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.8737054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1205240.4%21 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes54c1,959$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.019917.2%17 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes65c1,624$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.836954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81041437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes53c1,374$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.331,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No44c1,289$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.9515949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes44c1,248$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.1267042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a4c…6579backed Yes2c1,146$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.914235.7%15 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked No78c1,145$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.95232.7%17 W · 35 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+210.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52013837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes14c960.57$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.249450%47 W · 47 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes53c900$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47748150.9%245 W · 236 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb49…43febacked Yes56c892$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.527963.3%50 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5832…3dacbacked No46c869.57$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.57728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No44c778.23$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.390751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked Yes8c672.75$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.735523.6%13 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes56c650$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36430050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes23c637.12$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.5627024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Yes56c632.41$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.156048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed No45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked No48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3122441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28527752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes54c499.98$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.3414854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes54c478.44$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.3631655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Yes53c471$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.63728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-35.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d82…7d33backed No45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.44966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No44c440$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.088230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes26c425.26$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10932222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5366…1089backed No46c407.37$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda71…e895backed Yes55c406.8$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd28b…6e10backed Yes55c403.49$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd8…84b2backed No46c401.64$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+116.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No45c399.99$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.996225.8%16 W · 46 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes50c399$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.545936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes55c387$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.571,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5d…f4e1backed Yes56c383.93$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61cd…541ebacked No64c364.67$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.741788.2%15 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.20per pick68cpaid+29.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes54c349.99$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.9914342.7%61 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes22c317.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9656453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes54c314.94$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.5368942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16821839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d41…fa71backed Yes56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked No78c255$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.12352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259027.8%25 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed No44c249.96$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.984557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2211349.6%56 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No76c219.69$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9427454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked No48c206.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.385143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec8b…152bbacked No45c199.98$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.99955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No50c198.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0434643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe724…1938backed Yes56c183.75$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.911044.5%49 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x991e…3190backed No46c178.85$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.582646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9058…a2c2backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2798…3d88backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009436.2%34 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfe…4341backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-75.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed No46c171.24$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.475853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked No48c162.5$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes56c157.89$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4232736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No46c156.52$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5229458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25ad…46fcbacked No45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.51668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+58.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x26ff…8ed7backed Yes54c148.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c96…f165backed Yes56c137.5$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes56c137.25$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8618841.5%78 W · 110 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No45c128$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4515049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed Yes57c126.32$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724727.7%13 W · 34 L-7.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes55c122.22$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2249254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa40f…2fa3backed No79c120.25$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.253756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes56c116.07$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed No57c115$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.311557.4%66 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes38c111.3$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9b3…2beabacked No45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.112846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dc…e03abacked Yes56c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.