TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe5f4…55c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
178
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: UFC, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 58 out of 100; worst NFL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2025, EDT6417.2%11 W · 53 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.86
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.56
Dodgers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Twins vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+249.3%+$1,246.38
Pirates vs. Bravesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
Tigers vs. Red Soxbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$185
White Sox vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Royals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Dodgers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$379.89
Astros vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$550
Diamondbacks vs. Padresbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Pirates vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$282
Twins vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,750.19
White Sox vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+534.1%+$1,354.55
Mets vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Tigers vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,200
Dodgers vs. Marinersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+269.2%+$2,153.85
Pirates vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,113Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,113
Orioles vs. Yankeesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$257
Rangers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Tigers vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+440.4%+$4,403.62
White Sox vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$280
Braves vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$221.95
Braves vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.41
Giants vs. Diamondbacksbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT160%0 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Louisiana vs. James Madisonbacked Louisiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Colorado vs. Houstonbacked Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
UCLA vs. UNLVbacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$700
Tulane vs. South Alabamabacked South Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Michigan vs. Oklahomabacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$793Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$793
Arizona State vs. Mississippi Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$288
UAB vs. Navybacked UAB · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Ole Miss vs. Kentuckybacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$137
Kansas vs. Missouribacked Kansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Liberty vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Utah State vs. Texas A&Mbacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
UConn vs. Syracusebacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.91
Illinois vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Iowa vs. Iowa Statebacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
James Madison vs. Louisvillebacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$375.73
Northern Illinois vs. Marylandbacked Northern Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$404
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.96
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+777.5%+$541.04
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Athletic Bilbao win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Villarreal win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.88
Will Monaco win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Qarabag vs. FC Kopenhagen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Benfica win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.98
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$145
Will Ajax Amsterdam win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$140.46
Will Inter Milan beat River Plate?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+149.7%+$31.97
Will Inter Miami beat Palmeiras?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.11
All 14 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT140%0 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengals vs. Broncosbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,337Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,336.92
Ravens vs. Chiefsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Jaguars vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Colts vs. Ramsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Saints vs. Billsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$919Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$919
Eagles vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Commanders vs. Falconsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,400
Chargers vs. Giantsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$748
Vikings vs. Steelersbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Titans vs. Broncosbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Lions vs. Packersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$200.96
Panthers vs. Jaguarsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Cardinals vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Dolphins vs. Coltsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-36.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,400.39
Will West Ham win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,200
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+336%+$2,351.94
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+290%+$2,899.98
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000.22
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,077Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,077.1
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,500
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,954Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,954
Will Southampton win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Wigan win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Burnley win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.36
Will Everton win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Serbia win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.11
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$217.58
Will Wales win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Serbia vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Israel win on 2025-09-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.56
Will Gibraltar win on 2025-09-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Will Türkiye win on 2025-09-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Republic of Ireland vs. Hungary end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+646.9%+$646.86
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-09-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$156.46
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-66.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$142.17
Will KRC Genk win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.18
Will Rangers win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
Will Feyenoord win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$123
Will PAOK win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Crvena Zvezda win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.92
Will Celta de Vigo win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+203%+$128.99
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick17cpaid+92.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+202.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Imavov and Saint Denis backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+339%+$678.06
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralhobacked Imavov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,051Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+119.2%+$1,252.27
UFC Fight Night: Saint Denis vs. Ruffy backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+149.4%+$879.9
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,501Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500.61
Will Girona win on 2025-09-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Will Sevilla win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$139
All 3 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.6
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+257.1%+$51.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$244.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.