College Football · resolved market
Arizona State vs. Mississippi State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc01305d15e1885a2782dbae795d2acae3091190341870a084a3c765fc747a912
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mississippi Stateof Arizona State, Mississippi State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $204,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Arizona State | 29c | 28,822$8,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,243.73 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mississippi State | 33c | 27,562$9,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,349.83 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Mississippi State | 78c | 26,987$21,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,819.02 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Arizona State | 49c | 24,067$11,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,881.84 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Arizona State | 51c | 13,384$6,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,841.64 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Mississippi State | 44c | 13,217$5,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,416.69 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Arizona State | 72c | 10,956$7,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,916.78 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Arizona State | 63c | 6,897$4,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,361.89 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Arizona State | 65c | 6,641$4,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,289.69 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Arizona State | 23c | 5,286$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.18 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mississippi State | 52c | 4,887$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.33 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Arizona State | 34c | 4,628$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.19 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Arizona State | 58c | 4,438$2,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.07 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Arizona State | 68c | 4,207$2,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852.93 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Mississippi State | 51c | 4,010$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Mississippi State | 11c | 3,485$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,084.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +125.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Mississippi State | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.99 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Mississippi State | 40c | 2,400$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.19 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Mississippi State | 57c | 2,039$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.96 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Mississippi State | 61c | 1,637$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.44 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Arizona State | 69c | 1,609$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.58 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Arizona State | 51c | 1,513$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Arizona State | 29c | 1,410$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.49 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Mississippi State | 66c | 1,400$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Arizona State | 21c | 1,352$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.84 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Arizona State | 22c | 1,330$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Arizona State | 75c | 1,180$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Arizona State | 73c | 872.49$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.98 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mississippi State | 33c | 823$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.72 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Arizona State | 11c | 795.48$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mississippi State | 31c | 720.91$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.07 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona State | 50c | 709.67$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mississippi State | 32c | 699.97$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.98 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Arizona State | 4c | 687$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cae…f15ebacked Arizona State | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Mississippi State | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Arizona State | 70c | 600$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mississippi State | 30c | 584.46$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.12 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mississippi State | 47c | 514.83$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.1 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Mississippi State | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Mississippi State | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc0…4ce8backed Mississippi State | 25c | 491.04$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.37 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Arizona State | 66c | 478$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.08 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba0…3d98backed Mississippi State | 65c | 460.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Mississippi State | 56c | 421.92$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9406…9071backed Arizona State | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Mississippi State | 30c | 304$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.4 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Mississippi State | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Mississippi State | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd89d…d6b7backed Mississippi State | 80c | 257.5$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Arizona State | 31c | 256.09$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.68 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8e…0f12backed Mississippi State | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Mississippi State | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked Arizona State | 69c | 213.29$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.17 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Mississippi State | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Mississippi State | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…23d9backed Arizona State | 54c | 175.93$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Arizona State | 60c | 173.61$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Mississippi State | 31c | 165$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Arizona State | 64c | 156.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mississippi State | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…e6fdbacked Mississippi State | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Mississippi State | 65c | 147.53$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Arizona State | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Mississippi State | 48c | 105.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.83 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Mississippi State | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Arizona State | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…32bbbacked Mississippi State | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Arizona State | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Arizona State | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Mississippi State | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Mississippi State | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mississippi State | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Mississippi State | 33c | 76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10f2…e68bbacked Mississippi State | 33c | 71.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…1024backed Arizona State | 68c | 71.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00de…2149backed Arizona State | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Mississippi State | 36c | 70.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Mississippi State | 79c | 69.92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Mississippi State | 56c | 65.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Mississippi State | 31c | 62.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Mississippi State | 32c | 62.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Mississippi State | 33c | 60.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…1e28backed Arizona State | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Arizona State | 68c | 55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Mississippi State | 31c | 53.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Arizona State | 68c | 53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Mississippi State | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c65…5effbacked Mississippi State | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…9391backed Arizona State | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…6c3bbacked Mississippi State | 32c | 32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…d08abacked Mississippi State | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…79e6backed Arizona State | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Mississippi State | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…4b84backed Arizona State | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Arizona State | 75c | 18.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe69…c625backed Arizona State | 69c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…cc32backed Arizona State | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.