TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbe69…c625

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst College Football at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.66
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$34.86
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$7.98
Rockies vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$4
Brewers vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.45
Phillies vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.7
Rangers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$19.6
Dodgers vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.48
Rays vs. Redsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.6
Athletics vs. Astrosbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$19.95
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+150%+$22.8
Rays vs. Tigersbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.18
Cardinals vs. Cubsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$18.15
Orioles vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Rangers vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.6
Marlins vs. Nationalsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+150%+$17.4
Reds vs. Tigersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$19.22
Braves vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+100%+$14
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+27%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$24.6
Panthers vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$34.41
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.6
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$50.76
Stars vs. Flamesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15.96
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20.65
All 6 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-41%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Dolphinsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$4.41
Patriots vs. Giants backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$5.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.13
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+257.1%+$47.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elche CF win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$39.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Old Dominion Monarchsbacked Old Dominion Monarchs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+38.9%+$13.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.