MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fb74679ce45ac1be92f2063f68bf41c65fd20d3cd96cc28ce612e19545d2bbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Marlins, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Nationals | 62c | 102,238$63,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,387.56 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Marlins | 38c | 94,033$35,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,300.51 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Marlins | 38c | 20,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,400 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 38c | 13,363$5,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,105.95 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Marlins | 54c | 10,216$5,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,710.24 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Marlins | 41c | 9,009$3,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,340.34 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nationals | 2c | 8,092$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.84 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nationals | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,540 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Nationals | 4c | 5,766$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.66 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 37c | 5,501$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.58 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nationals | 56c | 5,136$2,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,872.68 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Nationals | 58c | 5,099$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,957.28 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Nationals | 61c | 3,100$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Marlins | 42c | 3,089$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.5 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Nationals | 61c | 3,013$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.72 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nationals | 62c | 2,670$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.1 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Nationals | 60c | 2,328$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.9 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Marlins | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Nationals | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Nationals | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.9 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Marlins | 39c | 1,888$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.68 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Nationals | 30c | 1,395$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.61 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Nationals | 60c | 1,260$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.4 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Nationals | 48c | 1,123$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.62 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…bac0backed Marlins | 40c | 1,102$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Nationals | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Marlins | 39c | 770$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.7 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Nationals | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Marlins | 39c | 541.11$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.12 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Nationals | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Marlins | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…2dd4backed Marlins | 42c | 428.55$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Nationals | 5c | 369$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Marlins | 39c | 348$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.28 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Marlins | 79c | 332.91$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.91 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Nationals | 31c | 318.46$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 64c | 313.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nationals | 60c | 312.12$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.44 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Nationals | 64c | 303.13$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Nationals | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Marlins | 38c | 278$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.26 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Marlins | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Marlins | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Nationals | 59c | 240$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Nationals | 61c | 229.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Nationals | 7c | 226.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Nationals | 61c | 207.66$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Nationals | 61c | 206.81$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.52 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Nationals | 61c | 185.25$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 36c | 182$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Marlins | 47c | 138.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Nationals | 11c | 123.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Marlins | 40c | 121$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Nationals | 64c | 115.84$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.14 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Marlins | 39c | 113.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Marlins | 39c | 103.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.66 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Marlins | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Nationals | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63a8…c5c8backed Nationals | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0fe8backed Nationals | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 36c | 79.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Nationals | 56c | 76.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Nationals | 58c | 76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Marlins | 39c | 71.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Nationals | 61c | 64.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…542fbacked Nationals | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…aa79backed Marlins | 38c | 57.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +55%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Marlins | 58c | 54.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Nationals | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 122 | 67.2%82 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Marlins | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…66afbacked Nationals | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 164 | 72%118 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…3917backed Nationals | 65c | 40.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…e348backed Nationals | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Marlins | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Nationals | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…3abfbacked Marlins | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Marlins | 35c | 32.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Marlins | 40c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nationals | 62c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Marlins | 79c | 31.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Nationals | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Marlins | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…16bfbacked Nationals | 64c | 29.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe69…c625backed Marlins | 40c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdede…149ebacked Nationals | 64c | 28.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Marlins | 55c | 27.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x025f…c1cfbacked Nationals | 60c | 26.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0084…4c4fbacked Marlins | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 111 | 65.8%73 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…5b45backed Nationals | 61c | 25.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9b…7febbacked Nationals | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…6d28backed Marlins | 79c | 21.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Nationals | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Marlins | 62c | 16.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Nationals | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.