TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd377…a0a5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
307
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 21, 2025, EDT17149.7%85 W · 86 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 171 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Blue Jays vs. Piratesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Reds vs. Angelsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+34.2%+$23.91
Brewers vs. Redsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$88
Dodgers vs. Angelsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Mariners vs. Oriolesbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$17.24
Dodgers vs. Angelsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.23
Guardians vs. White Soxbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
Reds vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Angels vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Astros vs. Yankeesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Reds vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$24.98
White Sox vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Brewers vs. Bravesbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$93.91
Orioles vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Giants vs. Piratesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Twins vs. Guardiansbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$17.37
Rangers vs. Marinersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+25%+$6.25
Orioles vs. Cubsbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$53.13
Brewers vs. Nationalsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+46%+$29.36
Tigers vs. Philliesbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Blue Jays vs. Oriolesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$66.08
Cubs vs. White Soxbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Phillies vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Phillies vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 171 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT4250%21 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$8.33
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.9
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$132
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.85
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+95.1%+$10.46
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$39.87
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+41.6%+$47.85
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$41.1
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+47.4%+$25.51
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13.8
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$612Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$611.78
Heat vs. Netsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15.2
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+93.4%+$16.9
Mavericks vs. Pistonsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30.5
Rockets vs. Grizzliesbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+95.8%+$191.54
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.25
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+130.2%+$78.96
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$21.43
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+85.7%+$85.72
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.04
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Sabres vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$201
Maple Leafs vs. Lightningbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$46.4
Kings vs. Hurricanesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Predators vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+29.9%+$6.9
Capitals vs. Flamesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Hurricanes vs. Rangersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+43.3%+$15.17
Sharks vs. Predatorsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100.9
All 25 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,002.86
League of Legends: Dplus KIA vs. DRXbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$34
League of Legends: EDward Gaming vs. LGD Gamingbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. BNK FEARXbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
League of Legends: KT Rolster vs. Hanwha Life Esportsbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
League of Legends: DRX vs. DN Freecsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+50.4%+$26.8
League of Legends: Fnatic vs. G2 Esportsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$8.34
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. Top Esportsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$12.88
League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. Dplus KIAbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.87
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. Weibo Gamingbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$9.87
League of Legends: Hanwha Life Esports vs. T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+45.5%+$27.31
League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. DN Freecsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$6.23
League of Legends: UCAM Esports Club vs. Ramboot Clubbacked Ramboot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.5
League of Legends: Weibo Gaming vs. Team WEbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$11.07
League of Legends: JD Gaming vs. FunPlus Phoenixbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+43.9%+$6.1
League of Legends: Top Esports vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.05
League of Legends: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. ThunderTalk Gamingbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+27.5%+$7.55
League of Legends: GIANTX vs. Team Vitalitybacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+52.7%+$34.5
League of Legends: FunPlus Phoenix vs. Invictus Gamingbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$132.5
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Everton win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will West Ham win on 2025-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$78.95
Will Tottenham win on 2025-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+34.3%+$92.73
Will Leicester win on 2025-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+40.8%+$10.21
Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$9.43
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST+38.9%+$47.16
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.3
Will the next Pope be from Europe?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.2
Will the next Pope be from Asia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$358.7
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.9
Will Trump say "Greenland" during Carney visit on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+37%+$4.05
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$39.75
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+43.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 12, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wings vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Sparks vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Storm vs Sparksbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Mystics vs Skybacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Mercury vs Acesbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
All 5 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 21, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+62.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Panathinaikos win on 2025-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.backed Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,302Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$701
Malott vs. Radtkebacked Malott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+53.2%+$19.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick80cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$12.5
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.8
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$6,349Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,348.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.