MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa52bb0c3cc22447bbd10f220498f9ee8266b901113d6371f1a308fec3cf77304
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Mariners, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,836,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,840,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,836,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Orioles | 41c | 1,323,390$548,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548,801.84 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 59c | 1,057,151$618,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438,233.08 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Orioles | 43c | 223,365$95,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,530.33 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Mariners | 58c | 168,830$97,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,894.7 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ca9bbacked Mariners | 71c | 77,430$55,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,272.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Mariners | 58c | 65,354$37,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,412.58 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Mariners | 57c | 60,000$34,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,800 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 28c | 43,337$12,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,091.45 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Mariners | 57c | 35,500$20,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,265 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Mariners | 59c | 25,135$14,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,408.05 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mariners | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Mariners | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,599.99 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Orioles | 40c | 18,122$7,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,250.86 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Orioles | 44c | 12,901$5,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,676.44 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Orioles | 31c | 11,339$3,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,505.59 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Orioles | 39c | 9,830$3,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,837.6 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 28c | 9,705$2,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,722.62 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Mariners | 71c | 9,540$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,739.71 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked Mariners | 57c | 9,000$5,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,870 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mariners | 57c | 7,500$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Mariners | 60c | 7,500$4,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,996.97 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…43b4backed Mariners | 61c | 7,359$4,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Orioles | 31c | 6,841$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.06 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 31c | 6,736$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.93 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mariners | 59c | 6,476$3,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,634.88 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Orioles | 34c | 6,021$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.88 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Mariners | 61c | 6,000$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 59c | 5,150$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.22 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x666e…296abacked Mariners | 59c | 5,085$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Mariners | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mariners | 60c | 4,981$2,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.78 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Mariners | 59c | 4,940$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.4 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad59…0c2bbacked Mariners | 59c | 4,915$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Mariners | 61c | 4,906$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.16 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Mariners | 57c | 4,840$2,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.2 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mariners | 58c | 4,525$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.5 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Orioles | 20c | 4,482$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Mariners | 58c | 3,800$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc86a…bcabbacked Orioles | 43c | 3,751$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe319…8f82backed Orioles | 41c | 3,660$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1188…f4adbacked Orioles | 41c | 3,660$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Mariners | 57c | 3,600$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Orioles | 39c | 3,064$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.1 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Mariners | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Orioles | 42c | 3,000$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Orioles | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d1…2056backed Orioles | 43c | 2,783$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…d73cbacked Orioles | 41c | 2,685$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Orioles | 30c | 2,573$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.25 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Mariners | 58c | 2,414$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.79 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a2…d77ebacked Orioles | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Orioles | 26c | 2,282$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.03 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…aa0cbacked Mariners | 62c | 2,075$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.77 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4a…ed6dbacked Orioles | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Orioles | 35c | 1,954$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.52 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed00…f47abacked Orioles | 40c | 1,900$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Orioles | 33c | 1,793$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.65 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef4e…7deebacked Orioles | 38c | 1,700$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Orioles | 41c | 1,629$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.07 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Orioles | 17c | 1,591$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.32 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaefb…6a8fbacked Mariners | 61c | 1,586$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…0ddfbacked Orioles | 43c | 1,522$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Mariners | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Orioles | 39c | 1,495$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.98 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Orioles | 33c | 1,482$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.14 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Mariners | 68c | 1,474$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.26 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Orioles | 41c | 1,470$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.7 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Orioles | 40c | 1,429$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.75 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Orioles | 24c | 1,419$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.26 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5d…67a4backed Mariners | 58c | 1,345$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4981…5176backed Orioles | 43c | 1,342$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…9545backed Orioles | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mariners | 59c | 1,302$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.25 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Orioles | 34c | 1,250$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Mariners | 58c | 1,195$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.83 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Orioles | 44c | 1,180$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.2 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Orioles | 38c | 1,076$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.03 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0602…6677backed Mariners | 60c | 1,050$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 52cpaid | +64%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…3a6cbacked Mariners | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…5688backed Mariners | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a31…5dd9backed Mariners | 61c | 999.98$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Orioles | 39c | 997.49$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.02 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad48…0b10backed Mariners | 61c | 985.25$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x232a…3965backed Orioles | 40c | 984.75$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92fd…0ad5backed Mariners | 60c | 967$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7429…247cbacked Mariners | 60c | 950$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedff…b635backed Mariners | 60c | 933$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Mariners | 57c | 921.25$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.14 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Orioles | 39c | 867.82$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Mariners | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e4d0backed Mariners | 62c | 853$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c2…455dbacked Mariners | 62c | 847$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Mariners | 65c | 832.24$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.56 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Orioles | 39c | 824$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.36 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Orioles | 39c | 782$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.98 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Mariners | 60c | 781.42$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.25 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Orioles | 20c | 781.34$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.78 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…bfcfbacked Orioles | 43c | 760.06$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Orioles | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Orioles | 39c | 707.08$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.76 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.