TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5cc6…f0f8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
200
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: WNBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 52 out of 100; worst College Football at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT11051.8%57 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 110 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Angels vs. Rockiesbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Guardians vs. Twinsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Yankees vs. Twinsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$340.54
Braves vs. Nationalsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+88.9%+$177.86
Braves vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+104.5%+$208.98
Cardinals vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Astros vs. Oriolesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+98%+$196.08
Giants vs. Padresbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Mets vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$244.44
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$234.78
Rangers vs. Royalsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Athletics vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Giants vs. Padresbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Reds vs. Angelsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Athletics vs. Twinsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$225.53
Yankees vs. Raysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
Rangers vs. Royalsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$234.78
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$216.67
Cardinals vs. Marlinsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Guardians vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+100%+$200
Yankees vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Guardians vs. Diamondbacksbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$242.86
Reds vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Showing 25 of 110 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT283.6%1 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick14cpaid-87.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon State vs. Oregonbacked Oregon State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
UNLV vs. Miami (OH)backed Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Arkansas vs. Memphisbacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$244.83
Ohio vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Texas State vs. Arizona Statebacked Texas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Eastern Michigan vs. Kentuckybacked Eastern Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
UMass vs. Iowabacked UMass · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Western Michigan vs. Illinoisbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
USC vs. Purduebacked Purdue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Oregon State vs. Texas Techbacked Oregon State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
UTEP vs. Texasbacked UTEP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Iowa State vs. Arkansas Statebacked Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Louisiana vs. Missouribacked Louisiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Oklahoma vs. Templebacked Temple · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Buffalo vs. Kent Statebacked Kent State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
South Alabama vs. Auburnbacked South Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Central Michigan vs. Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Wisconsin vs. Alabamabacked Wisconsin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Oregon vs. Northwesternbacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
North Carolina State vs. Wake Forestbacked Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Western Michigan vs. Michigan Statebacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Appalachian State vs. Charlottebacked Charlotte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Nebraska vs. Cincinnatibacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Jacksonville State vs. UCFbacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Miami (OH) vs. Wisconsinbacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Movsar Evloev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$64.29
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Michael Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$80.77
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Roman Dolidze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$399.75
Will Diego Lopes win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silvabacked Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$928.57
UFC Fight Night: Imavov and Saint Denis backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+437.1%+$425.5
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralhobacked Imavov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$541.67
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhangbacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$467.61
UFC 319: Will Du Plessis win by decision? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
UFC 319: Will Chimaev win by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-72.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina to score first vs. Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.6
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,675Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,675.02
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 16, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Buccaneers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Raiders vs. Patriotsbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,632Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+31.9%+$1,157.39
Cardinals vs. Broncos backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Chargers vs. Rams backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$257.14
Ravens vs. Cowboys backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Buccaneers vs. Steelers backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Jets vs. Giants backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
49ers vs. Raiders backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
Texans vs. Vikings backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$50.43
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 29, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sky vs. Mercurybacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Liberty vs Sparksbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$587.3
Dream vs Mercurybacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+73.9%+$141.25
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-37.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+25.3%+$25.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jeff Bezos Announced as New Liverpool Owner in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nets vs. Kingsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$565.9
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+77%+$34.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paul vs Joshua not occur by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$18.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bayrou out as French PM by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskovabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.