NFL · resolved market
Raiders vs. Patriots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c7b30d19854739d735ae8a582730c3b78bdd81f9f25fb89abb3769dc8dfb987
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raidersof Raiders, Patriots
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $572,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $622,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $572,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Patriots | 58c | 57,796$33,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,374.03 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Patriots | 51c | 48,423$24,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,747.19 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Patriots | 45c | 39,026$17,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,474.15 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Patriots | 54c | 32,999$17,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,750.76 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Raiders | 47c | 32,227$15,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,111.99 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Raiders | 42c | 27,085$11,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,698.17 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Raiders | 42c | 25,600$10,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,864.07 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c5…79a0backed Patriots | 57c | 18,797$10,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,714.02 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Raiders | 44c | 17,500$7,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,874.99 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Patriots | 50c | 13,760$6,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,852.83 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe686…13cbbacked Raiders | 43c | 12,000$5,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,840 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Patriots | 61c | 8,862$5,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,417.94 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Patriots | 49c | 8,599$4,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,190 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Patriots | 56c | 8,361$4,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,682.13 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Raiders | 46c | 7,918$3,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,269.13 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Raiders | 43c | 6,586$2,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,782.83 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Raiders | 54c | 5,948$3,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,734.44 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Raiders | 43c | 5,750$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,277.44 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Patriots | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.99 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Raiders | 76c | 4,790$3,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Raiders | 52c | 4,582$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.16 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raiders | 54c | 4,536$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.07 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Raiders | 48c | 3,928$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.86 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Patriots | 45c | 3,304$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.52 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +12.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Raiders | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Patriots | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Raiders | 60c | 2,822$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.1 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Raiders | 43c | 2,810$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.7 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…099dbacked Raiders | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Raiders | 57c | 2,401$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.33 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Raiders | 36c | 2,044$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.93 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Raiders | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.96 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Raiders | 53c | 1,737$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.84 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Patriots | 53c | 1,706$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.46 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Patriots | 65c | 1,588$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.6 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Raiders | 44c | 1,527$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.51 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Patriots | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Raiders | 48c | 1,479$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.94 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Raiders | 54c | 1,440$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.26 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Patriots | 58c | 1,412$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.03 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Raiders | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.64 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Raiders | 54c | 1,356$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.94 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Patriots | 57c | 1,334$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.24 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Patriots | 58c | 1,318$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.78 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Patriots | 58c | 1,264$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Patriots | 61c | 1,221$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Patriots | 39c | 1,200$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.29 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Patriots | 59c | 1,163$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.41 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Raiders | 49c | 1,027$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.93 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Raiders | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Patriots | 42c | 976.69$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.21 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Raiders | 43c | 960$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.2 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Patriots | 47c | 801.98$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.17 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Patriots | 2c | 795$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Patriots | 56c | 778.07$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Patriots | 35c | 750$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.63 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Patriots | 62c | 733$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.46 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd0…7b4fbacked Raiders | 40c | 652.12$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.31 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Patriots | 57c | 611.41$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.46 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Raiders | 43c | 590$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.3 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Raiders | 42c | 539.82$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.1 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…5590backed Raiders | 43c | 536.65$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…e64cbacked Patriots | 59c | 511.86$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Patriots | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Raiders | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Patriots | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 121 | 33.9%41 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…0d03backed Raiders | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcffc…2a55backed Raiders | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Patriots | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Patriots | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Patriots | 56c | 491.07$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Raiders | 41c | 490.65$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.48 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Raiders | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…afd7backed Raiders | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Raiders | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…4bf1backed Raiders | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Patriots | 45c | 450$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.3 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Raiders | 43c | 420.61$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.75 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed Raiders | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Patriots | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Patriots | 56c | 356.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc6…c3e4backed Raiders | 43c | 350$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.1 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Patriots | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Patriots | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Raiders | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Patriots | 45c | 311.43$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.21 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Raiders | 41c | 299.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…f500backed Raiders | 44c | 284.09$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.09 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Patriots | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Raiders | 41c | 258.31$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.4 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59c0…cd82backed Patriots | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d8…655abacked Patriots | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Raiders | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Raiders | 46c | 239.82$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.3 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d3…8743backed Raiders | 51c | 234.92$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.92 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Raiders | 45c | 228$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…3c53backed Raiders | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b36…bb52backed Raiders | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Patriots | 67c | 225.65$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.06 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…d817backed Patriots | 57c | 222.81$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raiders vs. Patriotsthis page
- Raiders vs. Patriots: O/U 43.5Under won
- Spread: Patriots (-2.5)Raiders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.