TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcffc…2a55

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 56 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3735.1%13 W · 24 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,097Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$516.24
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,100
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$213
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$584.41
49ers vs. Buccaneersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$148
Chargers vs. Dolphinsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$161.54
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Broncos vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Texans vs. Ravensbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$245.45
Vikings vs. Brownsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
Jets vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$210
Ravens vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$114
Jaguars vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$195
Chargers vs. Giantsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$64
Seahawks vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$329
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$424
Texans vs. Ramsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$74
Lions vs. Packersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$490
Steelers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$203
Raiders vs. Patriotsbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$285
Chiefs vs. Chargersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$62
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$530
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,748Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,747.73
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$269.03
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,284Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,283.72
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$382.6
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$221.52
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+110.5%+$525
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$230.44
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,011Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,011.29
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$62.99
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$68.8
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+127.9%+$35.81
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+257.1%+$64.8
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+194.6%+$132.12
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.75
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$310
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.75
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,910Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+54.4%+$1,583.58
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,990Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+102.3%+$3,059.88
Israel military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$960
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$154.6
Israel military response against Iran in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$952Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$952
All 22 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.75
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Santiago Luna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Joaquin Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)backed King Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Waldo Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Marco Tulio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Renato Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$104.5
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Movsar Evloev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
UFC Fight Night: Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Luke Riley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Michael Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$27.3
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveirabacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
UFC 317: Pantoja vs. Kara-Francebacked Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$179.71
All 12 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$716Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$497.67
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.64
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$166.98
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$816Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$349.77
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$253.36
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$174
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+51%+$318.38
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.24
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$1,076.92
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick49cpaid-80.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$66
Open Championship: Scheffler vs. McIlroy backed McIlroy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$328
All 2 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+100%+$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,180Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+69.5%+$820
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$190
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$550
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.