NFL · resolved market
Texans vs. Ravens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c794eac9eaebdc9e63d0510d51f12e53ebd3955dbb30d3c5e57c527252d12ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texansof Texans, Ravens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,426,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,483,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,426,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 702 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Texans | 54c | 400,000$217,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182,738.98 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ravens | 46c | 191,349$88,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,513.54 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Ravens | 43c | 140,000$60,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,200 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Texans | 56c | 122,857$69,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,447.81 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Ravens | 43c | 118,881$51,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,163.56 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Texans | 57c | 95,799$54,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,601.9 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Ravens | 41c | 69,288$28,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,489.72 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Texans | 57c | 40,269$22,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,393.18 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e98…1f51backed Ravens | 45c | 40,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,999.91 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Ravens | 44c | 33,896$14,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,947.03 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Ravens | 43c | 29,105$12,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,641.67 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Texans | 52c | 26,000$13,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,480 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Ravens | 45c | 25,000$11,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,250 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Ravens | 28c | 24,112$6,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,845.94 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Ravens | 45c | 23,194$10,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,469.61 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Texans | 70c | 21,956$15,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,543.43 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Texans | 52c | 18,500$9,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,880 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Ravens | 45c | 18,207$8,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,216.03 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Texans | 52c | 17,587$9,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,492.54 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Ravens | 44c | 15,068$6,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,630.03 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Texans | 55c | 14,706$8,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,566.56 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Texans | 54c | 12,500$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,750 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Ravens | 68c | 12,004$8,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,180 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ravens | 44c | 11,464$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100.09 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Ravens | 44c | 11,364$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Ravens | 46c | 10,652$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Texans | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Texans | 52c | 10,000$5,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,849.96 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Texans | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.95 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Texans | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.96 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Ravens | 44c | 7,250$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,190 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Texans | 34c | 6,467$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,254 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Ravens | 44c | 6,404$2,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,809.94 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ravens | 47c | 6,393$3,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.46 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Ravens | 1c | 6,210$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…48a2backed Ravens | 29c | 6,102$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.83 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Ravens | 29c | 5,780$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.59 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d47…d0a2backed Texans | 53c | 5,640$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.62 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Ravens | 38c | 5,513$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.35 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Ravens | 45c | 5,120$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.99 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Texans | 70c | 5,075$3,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.39 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ec…663ebacked Ravens | 48c | 5,050$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Texans | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Ravens | 19c | 4,972$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.24 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…b5a6backed Texans | 54c | 4,900$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7c…c933backed Ravens | 49c | 4,580$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,223.44 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Texans | 31c | 4,566$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150.54 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Texans | 57c | 4,334$2,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.96 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Ravens | 55c | 4,263$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,364.6 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Ravens | 44c | 4,238$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.37 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Ravens | 48c | 4,173$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Texans | 68c | 4,135$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.76 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Ravens | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Ravens | 1c | 3,967$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Ravens | 1c | 3,966$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…fa21backed Ravens | 47c | 3,901$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdffb…a16bbacked Texans | 55c | 3,900$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…6d7bbacked Ravens | 48c | 3,881$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Texans | 54c | 3,815$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.83 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Texans | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.36 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Ravens | 49c | 3,283$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.63 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x372b…0a9abacked Ravens | 44c | 3,100$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Texans | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Texans | 53c | 2,960$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.59 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7d…4d56backed Ravens | 44c | 2,718$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.01 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Ravens | 47c | 2,705$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.92 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Ravens | 43c | 2,656$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.08 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x114f…42c6backed Ravens | 70c | 2,650$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Texans | 36c | 2,636$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.6 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Texans | 59c | 2,579$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.67 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Ravens | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Ravens | 46c | 2,500$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.41 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Texans | 54c | 2,459$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.3 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Ravens | 44c | 2,450$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.4 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Ravens | 61c | 2,447$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.49 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Ravens | 46c | 2,400$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Ravens | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Ravens | 46c | 2,300$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Texans | 75c | 2,290$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.43 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed Ravens | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Texans | 22c | 2,226$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.5 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x075f…833cbacked Texans | 56c | 2,203$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.37 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ravens | 28c | 2,181$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.41 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…2da2backed Ravens | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Ravens | 45c | 2,100$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.87 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Texans | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c87…ded9backed Ravens | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…0a62backed Texans | 55c | 1,950$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.32 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Texans | 54c | 1,908$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.72 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa6…4979backed Ravens | 49c | 1,837$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…5bddbacked Texans | 52c | 1,731$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Ravens | 44c | 1,700$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ae…84cebacked Texans | 57c | 1,639$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Ravens | 31c | 1,625$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Ravens | 45c | 1,601$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.62 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb90…87b7backed Texans | 57c | 1,600$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +184.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…0c3ebacked Ravens | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…3c32backed Texans | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Ravens | 44c | 1,507$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb236…0ce5backed Texans | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +161.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texans vs. Ravensthis page
- Spread: Ravens (-3.5)Texans won
- Spread: Texans (-1.5)Texans won
- Spread: Texans (-2.5)Texans won
- Texans vs. Ravens: O/U 40.5Over won
- Texans vs. Ravens: O/U 42.5Over won
- Texans vs. Ravens: O/U 46.5Over won
- Texans vs. Ravens: O/U 47.5Over won
- Texans vs. Ravens: O/U 49.5Over won
- Texans vs. Ravens: O/U 50.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.