TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5523…51e9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
851
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Cricket at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT61851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 618 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+2,339%+$1,917.98
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.8
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,390.22
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26,726Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,725.58
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,438.3
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25,873Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,873.23
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,079.87
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,715Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,293.91
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24,162Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$14,368.13
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,628Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$3,090.81
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+124.6%+$29,156.81
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13,496Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$15,239.51
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,200
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40,226Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$19,740.43
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25,790Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12,136.68
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34,915Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34,915.45
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$19,199.87
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$6,308Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$10,740.98
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17,018Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5,083.19
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11,232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,232.42
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.25
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20,900Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6,599.98
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$739Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$739.07
Showing 25 of 618 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 10, 2025, EDT11449.1%56 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 114 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Astros vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,019.06
Dodgers vs. Piratesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$511.15
Marlins vs. Nationalsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$697Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$696.84
Mets vs. Tigersbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.9
White Sox vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$364.72
Mariners vs. Raysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$723Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$722.58
Mets vs. Tigersbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+85.6%+$149.99
Phillies vs. Brewersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$590
Marlins vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$218.99
Brewers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$24.85
Brewers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$220.13
Braves vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$839Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$514.09
Marlins vs. Metsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$831Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$1,938.18
Phillies vs. Metsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$902Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$901.6
Twins vs. Blue Jaysbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$1,494.54
Diamondbacks vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+62.3%+$457.63
Nationals vs. Yankeesbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$739Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$739.19
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$734.66
Dodgers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$731Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$731.39
Guardians vs. Rangersbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$519.8
Dodgers vs. Padresbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$282.55
Giants vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$276.23
Nationals vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$183.55
Royals vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$725Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$483.34
Rockies vs. Piratesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$292.48
Showing 25 of 114 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST6245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$610
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,698Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+69.2%+$1,175.8
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+400%+$1,334.37
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,117Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,116.67
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+63.9%+$58.61
LAR vs. Panthersbacked LAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$183.25
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,476Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$2,476.41
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+75.4%+$52.77
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$325.43
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+50.4%+$62.1
Ravens vs. Dolphinsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,994Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+25.6%+$766.85
Commanders vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,198Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+36.1%+$1,514.93
Bills vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.5
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$106.92
Giants vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,248Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$3,208.14
Raiders vs. Chiefsbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,536Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,535.64
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,103Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$2,699.73
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,748Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,748
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.44
Bengals vs. Packersbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$656Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$655.92
Rams vs. Ravensbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,352Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$636.03
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$674Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$2,536.03
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,069.6
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$661Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$660.97
Texans vs. Ravensbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,030Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$877.72
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2744.4%12 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$3,997Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,996.93
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19,240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$14,220.72
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11,588Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,588.02
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$8,999.96
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,100
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.5
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$9,213Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+440.6%+$40,592.61
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,561Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$17,136.15
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12,232Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+111.6%+$13,656.2
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.25
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15,125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$5,259.5
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$136.59
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16,100
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$8,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,050
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.25
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,200
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,463Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$2,833
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$8,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,004.19
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.06
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$18,068.06
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,567Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,566.92
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10,137Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+174.2%+$17,659.14
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.75
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2025, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Notre Dame vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$174.71
Alabama vs. Michiganbacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$484
Iowa State vs. Miamibacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$818Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$818.49
UConn vs. North Carolinabacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$70.02
Oklahoma vs. Navybacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$175.44
Rutgers vs. Kansas Statebacked Kansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST+88.7%+$115.1
Pittsburgh vs. Toledobacked Toledo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST+122.2%+$117.93
South Florida vs. San José Statebacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+142.8%+$126.89
Clemson vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+42.9%+$199.57
Will Miami beat Louisville?backed Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$43
Will Missouri beat Auburn?backed Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$70.18
Will BYU beat Oklahoma State?backed OKST · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$18.97
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2024, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,150.25
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,466Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,465.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WNBA Finals: Lynx vs. Liberty Game 3backed Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT+63.9%+$17.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 7, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$231.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bitcoin all time high day after election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$15.97
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.