TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Dodgers vs. Padres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Padresof Dodgers, Padres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$475,419
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$490,260

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $475,419 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Padres45c252,344$112,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139,788.9538043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Dodgers56c109,941$61,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,423.0435952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Dodgers55c43,690$24,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,029.2622852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Dodgers55c40,320$22,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,17645248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa983…46a3backed Padres50c36,612$18,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,371.8911345.1%51 W · 62 L-16.4wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Dodgers45c26,878$11,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,970.21,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Dodgers55c24,000$13,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,20044456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Dodgers55c20,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,00048254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Padres45c19,591$8,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,775.0560249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Padres74c14,816$10,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,880.1554345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Dodgers54c13,984$7,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,581.830255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers33c13,281$4,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,343.832,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Padres51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9002937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-31.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Padres79c9,442$7,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,998.5533845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Padres66c8,849$5,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,998.8621747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres44c8,324$3,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,661.321,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Dodgers55c6,170$3,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,393.381,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Dodgers55c6,030$3,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,323.198149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Dodgers43c5,035$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.56,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers56c4,565$2,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.142,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa365…d26ebacked Padres55c4,549$2,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,047.0914052.9%74 W · 66 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Padres65c3,888$2,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.831,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Padres44c3,417$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,923.6643949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers32c2,761$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.919,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Dodgers55c2,269$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.741,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Padres45c2,209$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.031,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e2c…ba05backed Padres45c2,010$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.492360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18ca…bf9dbacked Dodgers52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Dodgers11c1,681$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.42242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Dodgers46c1,649$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.0621246.2%98 W · 114 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Padres61c1,579$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.8343946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Dodgers14c1,509$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2166442.2%27 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Dodgers56c1,271$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.9463152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Dodgers54c1,192$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.1719239.1%75 W · 117 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Padres45c1,150$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.4916349.1%80 W · 83 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Dodgers56c1,135$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.423455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Dodgers11c1,120$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.896133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5936…c2d6backed Dodgers28c1,049$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd61c…5953backed Dodgers55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5502040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Padres45c899.98$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.9983248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x257d…aac8backed Dodgers13c894.44$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1134418.2%8 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-55.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Dodgers55c853.19$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.238052.5%42 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Dodgers11c835.41$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers57c789.47$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45026651.1%136 W · 130 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Dodgers14c758.86$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.245115.7%8 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Dodgers7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Dodgers55c666.91$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.866645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Padres46c652$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.081,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Dodgers31c547.7$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.354,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58d2…46e6backed Dodgers19c526$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9430928.5%88 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Padres67c524$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.9225454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Dodgers56c504.55$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.5511449.1%56 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Padres44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28061346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Padres44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28027733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11c1…7fe5backed Dodgers55c487.27$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2683240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Dodgers56c454.48$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.519448.9%46 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Padres47c430$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.96,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Dodgers51c418.7$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.991,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Padres42c415.16$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.7951347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Padres43c399.99$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2261,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Padres45c399.99$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.993,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c9b…5722backed Dodgers13c392.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010057%57 W · 43 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8307…1cadbacked Dodgers53c388.46$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2048167.9%55 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Dodgers55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Padres43c350$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.51,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc17…289abacked Padres45c332$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.5517946.4%83 W · 96 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f3d…d8d1backed Dodgers52c310$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.61947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Dodgers51c309.99$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.642,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Padres43c309.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.1933140.2%133 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Dodgers55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Dodgers38c298.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0654048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e3…3464backed Dodgers55c290.91$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1604847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Dodgers45c278.3$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.418236.3%66 W · 116 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x516a…84f6backed Dodgers56c249.75$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.866435.9%23 W · 41 L-11.6wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-31.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa550…3885backed Padres43c243.97$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.065238.5%20 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f5b…6759backed Dodgers18c230$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.42646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc62f…f330backed Dodgers56c225$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12614649.3%72 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Dodgers54c218$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7240548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Padres43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1142,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa19…fb67backed Dodgers55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Padres44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11266751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb3c…fb3fbacked Padres43c199.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1142552%13 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+31.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Dodgers55c197.16$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5573149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Padres51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0853448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Dodgers53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047348.8%231 W · 242 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Padres45c186.7$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.6946631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Dodgers18c185.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3353639.9%214 W · 322 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Dodgers55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74c4…4493backed Padres47c179.99$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6917850%89 W · 89 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeae7…1884backed Padres56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Dodgers58c178.5$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10399951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Padres44c173$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.881,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Dodgers58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0679…e5aabacked Dodgers36c165.17$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.46425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Dodgers56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8412152.1%63 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Dodgers55c136.36$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7578454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…ff23backed Dodgers55c136$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.88355.4%46 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Padres44c128$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.681,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bf7…cdb7backed Dodgers13c125$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7445749.7%227 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.