TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7c9b…5722

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
241
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst College Football at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10057%57 W · 43 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 100 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
First Round Pool D: Venezuela vs. Dominican Rep.backed Dominican Rep. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$128.4
Will Cal Raleigh win the 2025 AL MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+507.3%+$507.25
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$862Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+81.8%+$705.09
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$48.89
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$291
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$533.6
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$256.2
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+105.1%+$283.85
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$224
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$231.28
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+105.2%+$199.88
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+57.8%+$148.18
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$493.12
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+72.1%+$133.1
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,205Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+116.8%+$1,408.27
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+148.6%+$118.86
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+77.7%+$120.44
Showing 25 of 100 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST8453.6%45 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Todd Bowles win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$24.26
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$497.88
Cowboys vs. Raiders: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$92
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+100%+$202
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$226.34
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$196
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Bears (-2.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+88.7%+$53.21
Broncos vs. Texans: O/U 39.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+127.3%+$63.64
Broncos vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+156.4%+$62.56
Colts vs. Steelers: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+112.8%+$67.66
Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+92.7%+$55.61
Spread: Lions (-8.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+112.8%+$67.66
Spread: 49ers (-2.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+100%+$220
Spread: Chargers (-9.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$189.21
Commanders vs. Chiefs: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+101.6%+$331.14
Jets vs. Bengalsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$93.33
49ers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$41.69
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST3026.7%8 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-43.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
College Football — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Miami (-3.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$195.91
Texas vs. Georgiabacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$296.47
O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$202.47
Spread: Tennessee (-2.5)backed Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Virginia vs. North Carolinabacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Auburn vs. Arkansasbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.13
Florida State vs. Stanfordbacked Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$359.53
Spread: Alabama (-8.5)backed Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$89
Tennessee vs. Alabamabacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Alabama (-9.5)backed Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.4
O/U 58.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+53.9%+$356.99
Georgia Tech vs. Dukebacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+100%+$200
North Carolina vs. Californiabacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
San Jose State vs. Utah Statebacked San Jose State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Minnesotabacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Louisville vs. Miamibacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.61
Indiana vs. Oregonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Liberty vs. UTEPbacked UTEP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Missouri State vs. Middle Tennesseebacked Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$34.07
Spread: Penn State (-3.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Alabama vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Tennessee vs. Mississippi Statebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+37%+$36.99
USC vs. Illinoisbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+97.2%+$168.52
Georgia vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$299.5
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick48cpaid-66.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Hurricanes vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.36
Penguins vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Golden Knights vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Kings vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Blues vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Predators vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Lightning vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Sharksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-37.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.backed Rountree Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Emmett vs. Zalalbacked Zalal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+25%+$50
O’Malley vs. Dvalishvilibacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+100%+$50
Grasso vs. Shevchenkobacked Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+108.3%+$52
All 4 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+122.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs. Mercurybacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Aces vs. Mercurybacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$68.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$273.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.