MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd34a68de159e2cacb5817fbe8d1cd2bea98f8e150d2ab839fda63fbcba2191c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 28,628$13,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,497.99 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 20,817$11,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,413.92 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 1c | 12,500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +339.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff3c…09ebbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 3,728$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.13 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 2,861$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.04 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 2,778$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.36 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9a…5b99backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 2,441$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 1,682$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.57 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 1,462$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.14 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 1,027$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.56 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…3eafbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 999.75$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.91 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…e0e1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 962.14$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 926.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.18 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 864$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.79 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 826.87$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.87 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 784$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…c24dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 475.78$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.92 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75a0…be02backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 304$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f95…8100backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Toronto Blue Jays | 11c | 262$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 13cpaid | +254.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 252.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba7…837ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 221.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b11…0e49backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 217.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 205$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…c716backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 170.69$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 152.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.69 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 109$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.13 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 34cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 107.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb318…451bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…1808backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 96.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…1f44backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 82.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 78.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20df…962bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 63.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 59.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…3984backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f43…4f5ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +170%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 53.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f9…edbfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 53.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…3ea9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf57…053bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68d…fb0abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…f5ddbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 19.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Dodgers vs. Blue JaysDodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.