MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08d46e894fe46a5f58fdb43d9c6d718347753e4697775442e1e56afa88361323
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 48c | 101,875$48,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,881.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 52c | 100,000$52,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,999.98 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Over | 48c | 28,977$13,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,829.95 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Under | 52c | 27,728$14,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,309.39 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 52c | 22,000$11,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,620 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Under | 53c | 21,111$11,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,922.17 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 16,996$8,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,127.3 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,760 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 48c | 6,208$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Over | 48c | 5,374$2,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.29 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Over | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 53c | 3,470$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.95 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 45c | 2,537$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.57 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Over | 47c | 2,200$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.06 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc0…0fa5backed Under | 53c | 2,100$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 48c | 2,048$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.04 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x594f…392cbacked Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Under | 54c | 1,904$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.92 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…3eafbacked Over | 48c | 1,210$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Under | 53c | 793.45$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.45 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…f7febacked Over | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 22c | 658$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.58 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93e4…51a1backed Over | 48c | 425.46$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Over | 40c | 382.92$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.23 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 48c | 353.36$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 48c | 295$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 54c | 288.59$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.38 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Under | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Under | 52c | 244$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.12 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b8…aec0backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 53c | 143$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.72 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a8…57d5backed Under | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +132.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 48c | 100.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95bc…9f00backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…90e8backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fc…1e14backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 51c | 63.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 258 | 54.3%140 W · 118 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…ff8bbacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09cb…b1b6backed Over | 47c | 41.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed Over | 48c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Under | 58c | 38.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 115 | 60.9%70 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Over | 45c | 34.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6a…c984backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5this page
- Dodgers vs. Blue JaysDodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.