TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x95bc…9f00

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
171
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: College Football, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 59 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST12945%58 W · 71 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 129 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,169Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+1,218.1%+$14,243.57
Will Nick Emmanowori be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+88%+$263.5
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$189.96
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+122.2%+$110
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$69.5
Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$81
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$48.3
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+127.3%+$56
49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Bills vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$54
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$127.5
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$178.4
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$172.5
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+138.6%+$133.6
Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+606.7%+$1,201.89
Packers vs. Bears: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+177.8%+$94.72
Spread: Rams (-11.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$120.06
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$49.95
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+338.6%+$386
Lions vs. Bears: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+177.8%+$192
Showing 25 of 129 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST2040%8 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cal Raleigh win the 2025 AL MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$356.7
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+180.1%+$64.3
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$35
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$44
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$240.44
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.25
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.59
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$85.44
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$55
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+167.5%+$116.05
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$47.14
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+131.2%+$257.96
Dodgers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.92
All 20 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+49.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
College Football — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50.7
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$126.22
Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$52.17
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+330.1%+$307
California vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+192.2%+$230.2
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+127.3%+$56
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+108.3%+$52
Alabama vs. Oklahoma: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+117.4%+$54
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Ohio State vs. Michiganbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$115
Indiana vs. Penn Statebacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+257.1%+$36
Texas A&M vs. LSUbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$44
Alabama vs. South Carolinabacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
BYU vs. Iowa Statebacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$33.15
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$274
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$135
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$42.34
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+214.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+214.1%+$204.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$109.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.