College Football · resolved market
BYU vs. Iowa State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93760290aa15d109966695d64b4dfc6a479fcaf23f8898d0d000e439ab6227df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BYUof BYU, Iowa State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $530,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $597,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $530,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked BYU | 41c | 115,229$46,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,280.29 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Iowa State | 36c | 37,976$13,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,596.33 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Iowa State | 30c | 31,631$9,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,588.13 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed BYU | 44c | 30,123$13,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,757.35 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Iowa State | 56c | 27,326$15,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,225.98 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcb…85b9backed BYU | 45c | 24,691$11,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,580.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…f7f9backed Iowa State | 56c | 24,690$13,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,758.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Iowa State | 70c | 23,278$16,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,403.21 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…2229backed Iowa State | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Iowa State | 61c | 14,679$8,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,928.67 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Iowa State | 55c | 14,609$8,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,036.42 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed BYU | 47c | 13,777$6,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,247.98 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Iowa State | 56c | 13,639$7,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,573.91 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed BYU | 44c | 12,595$5,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,043 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed BYU | 45c | 11,042$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,042.27 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Iowa State | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,560 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd21…0e0ebacked BYU | 46c | 7,995$3,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,317.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a1…fcaebacked Iowa State | 54c | 7,990$4,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,314.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Iowa State | 55c | 7,130$3,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,936.47 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Iowa State | 56c | 7,071$3,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,924.72 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed BYU | 43c | 6,312$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,589.84 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Iowa State | 64c | 5,597$3,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,568.82 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed BYU | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Iowa State | 55c | 4,750$2,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.6 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Iowa State | 1c | 4,120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked BYU | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Iowa State | 56c | 3,573$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.89 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Iowa State | 58c | 3,500$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Iowa State | 56c | 3,500$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed BYU | 31c | 3,261$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.44 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked BYU | 24c | 3,210$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.74 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Iowa State | 55c | 3,081$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.64 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…ab60backed BYU | 45c | 2,963$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.92 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Iowa State | 22c | 2,918$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.94 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…1c90backed Iowa State | 62c | 2,801$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +86%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Iowa State | 72c | 2,744$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.5 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed BYU | 18c | 2,638$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.34 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked BYU | 43c | 2,167$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.7 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Iowa State | 68c | 2,157$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.1 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed BYU | 29c | 2,138$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.71 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Iowa State | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed BYU | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c0…2034backed BYU | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…5e51backed Iowa State | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Iowa State | 52c | 1,957$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.89 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked BYU | 27c | 1,893$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.89 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…4f95backed Iowa State | 56c | 1,768$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Iowa State | 9c | 1,704$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.21 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Iowa State | 57c | 1,500$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…d057backed Iowa State | 7c | 1,374$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.96 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Iowa State | 57c | 1,255$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.35 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed BYU | 43c | 1,200$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.99 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Iowa State | 68c | 1,199$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.71 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…05e0backed BYU | 43c | 1,179$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked BYU | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Iowa State | 56c | 1,125$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Iowa State | 56c | 1,121$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.95 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Iowa State | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed BYU | 46c | 1,088$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.29 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed BYU | 32c | 1,063$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.5 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked BYU | 42c | 1,062$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.01 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Iowa State | 55c | 1,029$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.42 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed BYU | 39c | 1,023$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.54 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked BYU | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Iowa State | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8997…c3bdbacked BYU | 45c | 922.22$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da0…372dbacked BYU | 45c | 844.44$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Iowa State | 55c | 818.18$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Iowa State | 56c | 774$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.44 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Iowa State | 56c | 705$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.8 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…a883backed BYU | 45c | 677.22$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.66 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed BYU | 31c | 642.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed BYU | 38c | 620$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.62 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Iowa State | 54c | 613.12$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.53 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Iowa State | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked BYU | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92c3…bd0ebacked Iowa State | 55c | 550$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…c28cbacked Iowa State | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc24…df47backed Iowa State | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…af87backed BYU | 46c | 545$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…34a6backed BYU | 47c | 545$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked BYU | 42c | 531.26$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.7 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed BYU | 12c | 500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…52c2backed Iowa State | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbccf…5f55backed BYU | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Iowa State | 56c | 483$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.48 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Iowa State | 51c | 455.97$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.52 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Iowa State | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked BYU | 33c | 440.58$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.58 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed BYU | 55c | 438.48$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Iowa State | 53c | 423.58$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.21 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…d00ebacked Iowa State | 71c | 412.05$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.71 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked BYU | 27c | 400$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed BYU | 53c | 399.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed BYU | 45c | 394$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.7 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed BYU | 38c | 375$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.13 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…b3e8backed BYU | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25a1…67b0backed Iowa State | 55c | 364$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Iowa State | 56c | 360$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…e803backed BYU | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BYU vs. Iowa Statethis page
- BYU vs. Iowa State: O/U 48.5Over won
- O/U 49.5Over won
- Spread: Iowa State (-2.5)BYU won
- Spread: Iowa State (-3.5)BYU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.