TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35e2…2953

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
394
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: College Football, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 58 out of 100; worst NFL at 33.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST22119.9%44 W · 177 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 221 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$13.8
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$26.4
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+594.4%+$155.67
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$37.38
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$44.65
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+30.4%+$42
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+36.3%+$115.68
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$28.25
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$78.72
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+150.1%+$68.04
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$21.41
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$63.9
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$36.3
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50.5
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$19.4
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$19.1
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$124.5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$18.6
Showing 25 of 221 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST4348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+203%+$67
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$25.6
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+127.3%+$38.18
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+150%+$240
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Pacers vs. Mavericksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$88
Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Kings vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Hornets vs. Heat: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$159
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$30
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$230.77
Thunder vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Hawks: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$240
Suns vs. Clippersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$256
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$132
Wizards vs. Mavericksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+46.9%+$33.26
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$735.48
Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$79.05
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$65
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$59
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST3658.3%21 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+33.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
College Football — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh vs. Georgia Techbacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$28
UConn vs. Florida Atlanticbacked Florida Atlantic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Duke vs. North Carolinabacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Arkansas vs. LSUbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. UCLAbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+31.6%+$9.6
Florida International vs. Missouri Statebacked Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+37%+$27
Alabama vs. South Carolinabacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Florida Atlantic vs. Navy: O/U 63.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
BYU vs. Iowa Statebacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$188
UMass vs. Central Michigan: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Ole Miss vs. Oklahomabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$340.54
SMU Mustangs vs. Wake Forestbacked Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$266.67
O/U 52.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$276
O/U 54.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$288.82
O/U 59.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+100%+$200
UCLA vs. Indianabacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
UCLA vs. Indiana: O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+100%+$400
California vs. Virginia Techbacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$294
Florida State vs. Stanfordbacked Stanford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+190.9%+$3,149.98
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$620
Georgia Tech vs. Dukebacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$2,040
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$403.79
Wake Forest vs. Oregon Statebacked Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Northwestern vs. Penn Statebacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+370.8%+$278.09
Oklahoma vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$26.13
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$128
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$53.33
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$279.12
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$301.54
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,100
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+59.9%+$629.08
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+35.3%+$105.95
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+43.3%+$91.58
LoL: 100 Thieves vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$227.51
LoL: KT Rolster vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,090.97
LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,000
LoL: Top Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO1)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.15
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+51.7%+$1,552.16
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Secret Whales (BO1)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,991Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,991.12
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,340Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$3,659.98
LoL: FlyQuest vs T1 (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,260Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+28.4%+$640.77
LoL: KT Rolster vs Movistar KOI (BO1)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,800Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+37.2%+$1,413.31
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Fnatic (BO1)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,845Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+46.7%+$861.85
All 21 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1612.5%2 W · 14 L-6.4wins-0.40per pick53cpaid-76.6%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Saintsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$23.1
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,719Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,719.16
Spread: Steelers (-5.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$450
Commanders vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Buccaneers vs. Seahawksbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$38
Broncos vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Dolphins vs. Panthersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Vikings vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
49ers vs. Ramsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Bengals vs. Broncosbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Panthers vs. Patriotsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Titans vs. Texansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Donald Trump say "Israel" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$144
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$159.49
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$62.45
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$47.37
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$60
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+46.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs. Mercurybacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$157.14
Aces vs. Mercurybacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+40.3%+$185.21
Mercury vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
Fever vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$64.5
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-59.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick76cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Utahbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Canucks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$23.33
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+95%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+28.5%+$11.1
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+161.6%+$25.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+44.9%+$13.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer Leverkusen vs. PSV Eindhoven end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+37%+$46.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Dons vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked San Francisco Dons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+25%+$3
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another model be the top AI model on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "cut" 7 or more times during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.