NFL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Patriots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2517c2e7563984d2149ac4b2bfb5d4994c36a9360929d195cd91278925629813
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patriotsof Panthers, Patriots
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $607,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $697,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $607,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Panthers | 32c | 275,067$88,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,021.52 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Patriots | 68c | 120,000$81,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,388.3 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Panthers | 29c | 46,882$13,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,408.89 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Patriots | 68c | 45,000$30,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,400 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Patriots | 68c | 23,340$15,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,468.8 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Patriots | 68c | 20,000$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Patriots | 67c | 14,000$9,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,620 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Patriots | 68c | 13,999$9,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,479.68 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Patriots | 70c | 12,431$8,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,765.63 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d75…74a5backed Panthers | 33c | 12,121$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Panthers | 12c | 10,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.99 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf99…0bd4backed Panthers | 31c | 8,381$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Patriots | 67c | 7,427$4,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…a549backed Panthers | 31c | 6,780$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…a24cbacked Panthers | 31c | 6,455$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa190…5af2backed Patriots | 69c | 5,796$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Patriots | 68c | 5,522$3,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.98 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Panthers | 20c | 5,421$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Patriots | 69c | 5,030$3,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.99 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Panthers | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Patriots | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.99 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Patriots | 68c | 4,800$3,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…471bbacked Patriots | 69c | 4,350$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…65d1backed Patriots | 69c | 4,203$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef5…1f71backed Patriots | 69c | 4,200$2,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Patriots | 68c | 4,155$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.6 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Patriots | 77c | 4,109$3,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.55 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…f452backed Panthers | 31c | 3,545$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c08…5d69backed Panthers | 31c | 3,230$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Panthers | 19c | 3,224$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.38 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Panthers | 33c | 3,040$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.6 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Patriots | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Panthers | 33c | 2,904$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.08 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…88dabacked Patriots | 69c | 2,901$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ae…e398backed Patriots | 69c | 2,900$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Patriots | 69c | 2,878$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.24 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Patriots | 68c | 2,500$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Panthers | 31c | 2,271$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1476…ce65backed Patriots | 69c | 2,177$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Patriots | 64c | 2,148$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.93 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…4a56backed Panthers | 15c | 2,099$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.91 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Panthers | 1c | 2,061$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…56febacked Patriots | 69c | 2,030$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Patriots | 66c | 1,940$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.68 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Patriots | 68c | 1,918$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.63 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Panthers | 31c | 1,624$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.58 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce28…a046backed Panthers | 31c | 1,610$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…d9c7backed Patriots | 69c | 1,521$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…ba57backed Panthers | 31c | 1,520$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Panthers | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.99 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Panthers | 30c | 1,492$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.84 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d96…ff58backed Patriots | 69c | 1,450$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fe…2d2dbacked Patriots | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…0a62backed Patriots | 70c | 1,421$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.86 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Patriots | 70c | 1,371$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.43 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb8…536fbacked Panthers | 40c | 1,350$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Panthers | 3c | 1,340$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Panthers | 1c | 1,310$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Patriots | 70c | 1,286$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.71 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -10.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Panthers | 33c | 1,276$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.84 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Patriots | 68c | 1,262$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.59 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Patriots | 68c | 1,187$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.75 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de9…ee25backed Panthers | 15c | 1,063$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.96 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Panthers | 44c | 1,000$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Panthers | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 149 | 26.2%39 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…1ae8backed Panthers | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…84fabacked Patriots | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 41cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Panthers | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Panthers | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Patriots | 61c | 954.28$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.22 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…0d03backed Panthers | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Panthers | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Panthers | 31c | 880$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.8 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Panthers | 33c | 759$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.81 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Panthers | 30c | 666$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Panthers | 8c | 662.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Panthers | 33c | 652.49$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.32 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Patriots | 69c | 632.57$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.2 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Panthers | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Panthers | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Panthers | 31c | 593.8$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.08 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Patriots | 69c | 576.62$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.62 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Patriots | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Patriots | 67c | 505.71$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.88 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Panthers | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Panthers | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 121 | 33.9%41 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Patriots | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Patriots | 69c | 455.07$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Panthers | 7c | 437.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Patriots | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…abffbacked Patriots | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Patriots | 70c | 425.1$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.53 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Panthers | 17c | 400$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Patriots | 68c | 379.23$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.35 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Patriots | 63c | 376.41$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.81 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ed…0bb4backed Panthers | 19c | 368.01$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.37 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Patriots | 69c | 367.99$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.08 | 143 | 66.4%95 W · 48 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Panthers | 34c | 367.65$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Patriots | 68c | 350$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2fdbbacked Panthers | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. Patriotsthis page
- Panthers vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Patriots: O/U 42.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Patriots: O/U 43.5Over won
- Spread: Patriots (-1.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-3.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-5.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-6.5)Patriots won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.