TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe93c…d9c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Oilersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$584.39
Bruins vs. Maple Leafsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+170.3%+$1,048.95
Predators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$566.26
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.75
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+109.4%+$24.56
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.5
Islanders vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT+83.4%+$21.25
Maple Leafs vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+150%+$27.45
Rangers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$29.5
Kings vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$27.52
Capitals vs. Kingsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.12
Predators vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$27.5
Golden Knights vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25.12
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+85.9%+$22.25
Panthers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST-100%-$21.4
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,033Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,033.41
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,063Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+37%+$393.29
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+88.7%+$21.46
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$21.47
Celtics vs. Rocketsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+72.4%+$19.25
All 5 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rays vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$22.9
Diamondbacks vs. Blue Jaysbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.85
Cubs vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.05
Braves vs. Philliesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.85
Rangers vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$19.1
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucaramanga: Guido Justo vs Johan Niklesbacked Guido Justo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,025Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$460.35
Open Sud de France: Valentin Royer vs Arthur Filsbacked Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$765.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Coalesce vs Twisted Saints Esports (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group Abacked Coalesce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,012Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+47.1%+$476.29
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs TYLOO (BO3)backed FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,001
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$595.44
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2025-12-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$476.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Le Havre AC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$1,040.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Union Berlin vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$384.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Botafogo FR win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$348.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hungary vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$421.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$569.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.