MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x571585c7605435dec7ce1ac34e7bfffd957bc94aa3c320a34a25fc047f769845
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Rays, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $598,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $608,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $598,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Orioles | 46c | 322,358$149,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173,092.48 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Rays | 54c | 196,203$105,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,108.73 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Rays | 53c | 150,000$79,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,500 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rays | 54c | 94,692$51,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,156.97 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Rays | 55c | 9,091$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Rays | 77c | 9,000$6,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,909.51 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Orioles | 47c | 6,840$3,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,625.43 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 54c | 6,415$3,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,459.62 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Rays | 54c | 6,008$3,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,234.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Orioles | 46c | 5,397$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,897.32 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Orioles | 13c | 5,381$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,660.86 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Rays | 65c | 4,749$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 29c | 4,276$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,054.61 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Rays | 55c | 4,132$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272.6 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 25c | 3,833$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.13 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Rays | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Rays | 54c | 3,043$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Rays | 55c | 2,911$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Orioles | 46c | 2,583$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.93 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rays | 54c | 2,340$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.76 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rays | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Orioles | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.9 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Rays | 50c | 1,801$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Rays | 75c | 1,600$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Rays | 79c | 1,600$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272 | 122 | 67.2%82 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Rays | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Rays | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Rays | 55c | 1,463$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…21d0backed Rays | 69c | 1,443$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.79 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Rays | 2c | 1,404$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Orioles | 27c | 1,281$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.02 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Rays | 22c | 1,212$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Rays | 53c | 1,200$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Rays | 26c | 1,174$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.25 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…1bfbbacked Rays | 55c | 1,075$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…bd1ebacked Rays | 48c | 1,052$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Orioles | 20c | 1,015$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.55 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rays | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Orioles | 46c | 999.96$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.98 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Rays | 2c | 983.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Orioles | 48c | 931.03$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.54 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Rays | 54c | 925$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Rays | 54c | 891.32$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.68 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x123a…3260backed Rays | 55c | 867.27$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Orioles | 19c | 772.01$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.95 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Orioles | 23c | 751.4$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.18 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Rays | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Orioles | 14c | 723.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.33 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rays | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rays | 52c | 671.81$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.34 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Rays | 54c | 650$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…69aebacked Rays | 53c | 644.07$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.48 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 65c | 615.81$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.31 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Rays | 15c | 533.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…896fbacked Rays | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Orioles | 48c | 481.19$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.06 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…644bbacked Orioles | 77c | 448$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Rays | 55c | 440$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Rays | 25c | 439.36$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.84 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…3d6fbacked Rays | 55c | 427.27$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Orioles | 46c | 422$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.88 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…e428backed Orioles | 34c | 410.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.85 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Rays | 20c | 370.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.92 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Rays | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1cd9backed Rays | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Rays | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Rays | 55c | 356.75$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.21 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rays | 21c | 350$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2df4…847bbacked Rays | 55c | 348.98$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Rays | 54c | 340.33$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.78 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…509abacked Rays | 29c | 326.42$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.09 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Rays | 55c | 318.18$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rays | 53c | 317.19$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.41 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Orioles | 23c | 309.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.65 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Orioles | 55c | 304$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.21 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Rays | 68c | 301.33$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…04d0backed Rays | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…8bacbacked Rays | 54c | 300$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Rays | 54c | 296.23$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.8 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Rays | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…edbebacked Rays | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Orioles | 59c | 274.87$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Orioles | 19c | 259$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.81 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…f6e2backed Orioles | 29c | 247.14$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.52 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…c1febacked Rays | 55c | 237.37$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays | 50c | 233.42$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.57 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Orioles | 46c | 218$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Orioles | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Rays | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Orioles | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Orioles | 29c | 189$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.63 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Rays | 54c | 186.93$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe597…077cbacked Rays | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Rays | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Rays | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4aa…6b1cbacked Rays | 54c | 167.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rays | 37c | 162$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Orioles | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Orioles | 25c | 159.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.32 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.